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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH ALABAMA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SUN BELT|JOEY JONES|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
SOUTH ALABAMA113 FPISBC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1160 BC / 12
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.0-8.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.7
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AOLE MISS—L 27-47888080-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HOKLAHOMA STATE#14L 7-44728989-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HALABAMA A&M—W 45-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23HIDAHO—L 23-29————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 30ALOUISIANA TECH—L 16-34362727-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ATROY—W 19-8264949-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HUL MONROE—W 33-23141414+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AGEORGIA STATE—L 13-21271313+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HLOUISIANA—L 14-19161010+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HARKANSAS STATE—W 24-19414848-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 0-52281010+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2ANEW MEXICO STATE—L 17-2262222-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
DALLAS DAVISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
EVAN ORTHQB JURET
UNR—00%——
13
COLE GARVINQB JURET
UNR—00%——
18
TYLAN MORTONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
WYATT WILKINSONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET51NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
CARLOS ROBINSON IIRB —RET
UNR—00%——
6
JALIN BUIERB JURET
★3—00%——
5
TRA MINTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
XAVIER JOHNSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
DENZEL FOSTERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
TYWUN WALTERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
DEONTA MOORERB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
TERRION AVERYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
DAVID GARDNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JAHMMIR TAYLORWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
SA'MORY COLLIERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
12
JORDAN MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
29
COLLIER SMITHTE JURET
UNR—00%——
1
MAASEIAH FRANCISTE JURET
UNR—00%——
4
SAM HARRISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
PARKER MASONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
ANDREW REINKEMEYERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JAMARIUS WAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
MALIK STANLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
KAWAAN BAKERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
JALEN WAYNEWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
ZAC CROSBYTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
KHAMERON TAYLORTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
34
DAVID WEBBWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
TRE'VEON HAMILTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
JAMEL THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
NICK THOMPSONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
CHRISTIAN PEARSALLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
47
MICHAEL COLETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
RAPHAEL BARRWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDRIC HAYNESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DEVIN ROCKETTEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
A.J. DESHAZORHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JALON SHEFFIELDHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DAVYN FLENORDHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
CEPHUS JOHNSONHS RECRUITDUAL★2UNR
JALEN TOLBERTHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
GUS NAVEHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
JALEN WAYNEHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HADON MERCHANTHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GERALD EVERETTNFL DRAFT R2TEUNR—
TYRONE WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DAMI AYOOLANOT LISTEDRBUNR—
CHRIS LEWISNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
GRANT POWELLNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
WAYNE JOHNSONNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
JOSH MAGEENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JAMES BYNESNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
DEVON EARLNOT LISTEDSUNR—
ROMAN BUCHANANNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#116NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7902COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE