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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH ALABAMA›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SUN BELT|STEVE CAMPBELL|—RECORD4-7|CONF—
SOUTH ALABAMA114 FPISBC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1090 BC / 17
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-7ACTUALvs3.5-7.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.4
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ASOUTHERN MISS—W 32-21342222-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HTULANE—L 24-27476262-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HUAB—L 10-42297070-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HTEXAS STATE—W 30-20271111+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HUL MONROE—W 38-141766+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 17-24214848-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7ACOASTAL CAROLINA#14L 6-2387272-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ALOUISIANA#15L 10-38267474-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HGEORGIA STATE—L 14-31202929-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AARKANSAS STATE—W 38-31292828-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HTROY—L 0-29195959-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET34NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DESMOND TROTTERQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
TANNER MCGEEQB JURET
★2—00%——
17
ELI GAINEYQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
CHANCE LOVERTICHQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
18
TYLAN MORTONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
15
BRIAN GARCIAQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
JARED WILSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
23
TONY BROWNRB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
26
CARLOS DAVISRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
33
JOHN TANK MILLERRB SORET
★2—00%——
32
JOSHUA CARTERRB SORET
★2—00%——
7
TERRION AVERYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
DAMEAN BIVINSRB SORET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
KAWAAN BAKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
JALEN WAYNEWR SERET
★2—00%——
12
CADE SUTHERLANDWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JALEN TOLBERTWR JURET
★2—00%——
41
CAMERON HATCHER-OWENSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
20
BRANDON CRUMTE SERET
★2—00%——
5
CAULLIN LACYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
27
JACOB HOPPERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
DEVIN VOISINWR SERET
★2—00%——
47
TRENT TYRETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
VICTOR MCCLINTONWR SERET
★2—00%——
40
DESTIN MYERSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
14
MO EDWARDS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
PATRICK PALMERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
18
KEYSHAWN WOODYARDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
CHRISTIAN WORTHAMWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
17
JAMEL THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
NICK RUGGSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
82
PARKER KAHLERTWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
TODD JUSTICETE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
NAE'SAAN DICKERSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
HUNTER JEDNATWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
37
ZACK SWITZERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
39
DYLAN THOMASTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
TY SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
FORREST WINTONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
DALLAS DAFFINWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUNIOR SUMMERHILLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KEYSHAWN WOODYARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CODEY MARTINHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
NAE'SAAN DICKERSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAULLIN LACYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ELIJAH GAINEYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
CARLOS JOHNSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
CHRISTIAN WORTHAMHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACOB HOPPERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LATARIUS CARRHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZAC CROSBYAPP STATETE★2UNR
KHAMERON TAYLORELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
DJ DANIELSELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
ROCEL MCWILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JALEN THOMPSONELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
JEFFERY WHATLEYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KHALIL MCDONALDELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DAVID WEBBELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TRE'VEON HAMILTONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TRA MINTERELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#109NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8167COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR34%34th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE