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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH ALABAMA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|KANE WOMMACK|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
SOUTH ALABAMA109 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
27FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1220 BC / 8
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HSOUTHERN MISS—W 31-7391111+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11ABOWLING GREEN—W 22-19201515+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HALCORN STATE—W 28-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 2HLOUISIANA#16L 18-20316464-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ATEXAS STATE—L 31-333099+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 41-14211010+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AUL MONROE—L 31-411255+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HARKANSAS STATE—W 31-134099+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ATROY—L 24-31342828-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AAPP STATE—L 7-31357373-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ATENNESSEE—L 14-60879393-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 21-27288181-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JAKE BENTLEYQB SEPORTAL · UTAH
★4★300%—FELL
1
DESMOND TROTTERQB SERET
★3—00%——
5
CEPHUS JOHNSON IIIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
TANNER MCGEEQB JURET
★2—00%——
17
ELI GAINEYQB SORET
★3—00%——
18
TYLAN MORTONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
15
BRIAN GARCIAQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
JARED WILSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
10
KAREEM WALKERRB SENO SNAPS
★2★300%——
7
TERRION AVERYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
BRYAN HILLRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
JOHN TANK MILLERRB SORET
★2—00%——
24
DAMEAN BIVINSRB SORET
★2—00%——
32
JOSHUA CARTERRB SORET
★2—00%——
44
KEATON HALFACRERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
TODD JUSTICETE SERET
UNR—00%——
JALEN WAYNEWR SERET
★2—00%——
12
CADE SUTHERLANDWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JALEN TOLBERTWR JURET
★2—00%——
89
ALLEN DAILEY JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
BRANDON CRUMTE SERET
★2—00%——
5
CAULLIN LACYWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
27
JACOB HOPPERTE JURET
★3—00%——
1
DEVIN VOISINWR SERET
★2—00%——
47
TRENT TYRETE JURET
UNR—00%——
6
JAY'JUAN TOWNSENDWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
LINCOLN SEFCIKTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
VICTOR MCCLINTONWR SERET
★2—00%——
40
DESTIN MYERSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
41
CAMERON HATCHER-OWENSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
18
KEYSHAWN WOODYARDWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
CHRISTIAN WORTHAMWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
17
JAMEL THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
NICK RUGGSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
82
PARKER KAHLERTWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
NAE'SAAN DICKERSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
16
HUNTER JEDNATWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LAMONDRE BROOKSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ADREIN STRICKLANDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JASON BROOKSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
COLE DANIELSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
REID GAVINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DALTON HUGHESHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAYJUAN TOWNSENDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ED SMITH IVHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ATANZA VONGORTCUS★4★3
JAKE BENTLEYUTAHPRO★4★3
KE'SHUN BROWNTEXAS A&MLB★4★4
JUSTIN STEVENSMICHIGAN STATEOT★3★3
ANTERRIOUS GRAYNORTH TEXASOGUNR★3
JAMES JACKSONMISSISSIPPI STATEOCUNR★3
KAREEM WALKERMISSISSIPPI STATERBUNR★3
ETHAN RINKETENNESSEEWDEUNR★3
JAMAL BROOKSMISSOURIILB★3★3
ALLEN DAILEYKENTUCKYWRUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHANCE LOVERTICHMISSISSIPPI STATEQBUNR★3
ROY YANCEYCAMPBELLLBUNR★3
KAWAAN BAKERNFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
RILEY COLEELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JEREMIAH LITTLESELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
JAKE HARWELLELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
CARLOS DAVISNOT LISTEDRB★3—
TONY BROWNNOT LISTEDRB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#122NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 8 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8231COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1311 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR71%71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE