SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTHERN MISS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|WILL HALL|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
SOUTHERN MISS92 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#790 BC / 15
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.2-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE23
PERFORMANCE23
TALENT43
CONTINUITY11
DEFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT36
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HLIBERTY—L 27-2964444-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10AMIAMI—L 7-30914242-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HNORTHWESTERN STATE—W 64-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24ATULANE#9W 27-24477979-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ATROY#19L 10-27356767-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HARKANSAS STATE—W 20-19371919+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ATEXAS STATE—W 20-14362323+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HLOUISIANA—W 39-24345252-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HGEORGIA STATE—L 14-42384040-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 23-26304848-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 20-27377575-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUL MONROE—W 20-10141111+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17HRICE—W 38-24281212+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB37TAL53PERF37RET48ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ZACH WILCKEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—6952%-23—
8
TREY LOWEQB SERET
★3—6436%-6—
24
JAKE LANGEQB JURET
UNR—336%-22—
5
TY KEYESQB FRRET
★3★3295%+12HELD
9
TEE WEBBQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
19
DUSTIN ALLISONQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
KYLE MCCORMICKQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB57TAL58PERF57RET77ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
FRANK GORE JR.RB JURET
★3—9866%+16—
28
JANARI DEANRB SONO SNAPS
★3—6517%-45—
2
CHANDLER PITTMANRB SERET
★3—539%-52—
5
KENYON CLAYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3466%+40HELD
6
DAJON RICHARDRB SORET
★3—232%-21—
26
JIMMIE HAYWOODRB JURET
UNR—131%——
11
ANTAVIOUS WILLISRB JURET
★3—00%-46—
25
ZAHN DIAZRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE47TAL52PERF56RET65ONE OWNERn=5 · 8 METRICS · 30 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
COLE CAVALLOTE SERET
UNR—9568%-16—
1
JASON BROWNLEEWR SERET
UNR—9440%+29—
6
LATREAL JONESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—8027%-54—
1
JAKARIUS CASTONWR SERET
UNR—7321%+27—
88
LUKE BAKERTE SORET
★3—5818%——
48
RAY LADNERTE SERET
UNR—5212%——
DEMARCUS JONESWR SERET
UNR—516%-19—
85
JORDYN MAHAFFEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—454%——
82
JALEN MAYWR JURET
UNR—413%——
85
BRAD DENNISWR SERET
UNR—251%——
4
BRANDON HAYESWR SERET
★3—231%——
42
AVERY WHITETE JURET
★3—141%——
47
MICHAEL JEFCOATTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—91%——
13
RICHARD MAYS JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—70%——
11
DAVIS DALTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—70%——
0
TY MIMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%-14HELD
84
JACK JACKSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
CADE SHEPHERDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
EVAN MCNALLYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
ASHTON SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
ZAVIAN HALESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL31TAL39PERF31RET45n=9 · 3 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DL67TAL44PERF67RET39n=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB66TAL24PERF66RET69n=6 · 11 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸DB50TAL38PERF50RET83n=10 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KLABRON POLLARDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JORDAN MARTINHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
WIL SAXTONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
CAMERON KNOXHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KENYON CLAYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KAMRON BARNESHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ZACH WILCKEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KYRON BARNESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DAVIS DALTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
IIIYAS FUAVAIHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KHALIQUE WASHINGTONELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
ANTOINE ROBINSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
FRED SMITHELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
BRYCE FOXWORTHELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
ANDREW COLEELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
JUSTIN HULETTELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
NARICUSS DRIVER JR.ELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
ERIQ KITCHENELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
DASHAWN CRAWFORDELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
GRAYSON GUNTERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#79NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8282COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST88% BACK88th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG88% BACK88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR45%45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR48%48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST83%83th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE