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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
ACC|FRAN BROWN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
SYRACUSE#20 AP 52 FPIACC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
54%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#384 BC / 25
BC RATIO
19%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD7-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.9
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE76
PERFORMANCE76
TALENT68
CONTINUITY54
DEFENSE33
PERFORMANCE33
TALENT70
CONTINUITY49
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HOHIO—W 38-22115353+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HGEORGIA TECH—W 31-28675151+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HSTANFORD—L 24-26702424+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HHOLY CROSS—W 42-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 4AUNLV#23W 44-41397474-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ANC STATE—W 24-17725959+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 24APITTSBURGH—L 13-41696262+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HVIRGINIA TECH—W 38-31637878-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 31-37584848+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ACALIFORNIA—W 33-25665959+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HUCONN—W 31-24275050+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HMIAMI#18W 42-38919393-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AWASHINGTON STATE—W 52-35464949+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB64TAL94PERF65RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KYLE MCCORDQB SEPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★5★410099%+15FELL
15
MICHAEL JOHNSON JR.QB SENO SNAPS
★3—161%——
8
PATRICK GRUSSERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—30%——
16
BRADEN DAVISQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
7
CARLOS DEL RIO-WILSONQB SERET
★4★300%-39FELL
4
JAKHARI WILLIAMSQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB62TAL64PERF62RET82ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LEQUINT ALLENRB JURET
★3—10082%-6—
6
YASIN WILLISRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36211%-54HELD
24
WILL NIXONRB SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON
★3★3485%-7HELD
22
JADEN HARTRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3292%—HELD
31
TYLER CHANDLERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
38
MAX RUNYONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
MALACHI JAMESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
27
JORDAN MONTANEZRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE64TAL66PERF63RET62ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
TREBOR PENAWR SERET
★3★410029%+7ROSE
19
ORONDE GADSDEN IITE JURET
★3—9958%+47—
7
JACKSON MEEKSWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★3★39925%+28HELD
15
DARRELL GILL JR.WR SERET
UNR★48918%+15EMERGED
2
UMARI HATCHERWR SERET
★3★38114%+29HELD
30
CHASE SIMMONSTE SERET
★3★37311%—HELD
89
DAN VILLARITE SERET
★3—7120%-2—
MAXIMILIAN MANGTE SERET
★3—6717%-31—
86
JUSTUS ROSS-SIMMONSWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★3★3615%+22HELD
8
ZEED HAYNESWR FRPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★3574%-7FELL
14
EMANUEL ROSSWR FRTRUE FR
★4★3482%—FELL
0
DAVID CLEMENTTE SERET
★3—475%——
0
JAYLAN HORNSBYWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3331%—HELD
26
TA'RON HAILEWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3180%—HELD
23
JA'MEER THOMASWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3150%—HELD
84
ELIJAH WASHINGTON-BAKERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
KYLE ACKERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
32
NICK ARMENTANOWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL62TAL55PERF62RET65n=8 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL50TAL76PERF50RET38n=9 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB57TAL42PERF57RET76n=7 · 10 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸DB59TAL76PERF59RET48n=11 · 6 METRICS · 49 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EMANUEL ROSSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAMIE TREMBLEHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
MARCELLUS BARNES JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KINGJOSEPH EDWARDSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
YASIN WILLISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAYLAN HORNSBYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAKHARI WILLIAMSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
CADEN BROWNHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ELIJAH WASHINGTON-BAKERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MALACHI JAMESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FADIL DIGGSTEXAS A&MEDGE★4★4
KYLE MCCORDOHIO STATEQB★5★4
ZEED HAYNESGEORGIAWR★4★3
ISAIAH HASTINGSALABAMADL★4★3
DEVIN GRANTBUFFALOS★3★3
DION WILSON JR.NEW MEXICO STATEDL★3★3
DUCE CHESTNUTLSUCB★3★3
CLARENCE LEWISNOTRE DAMECB★3★3
JUSTUS ROSS-SIMMONSCOLORADO STATEWR★3★3
MARCUS WASHINGTONLOUISVILLECB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT36 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEVON DARTONARIZONADLUNR★3
LEON LOWERY JR.WISCONSINLB★3★3
TERRY LOCKETT JR.JAMES MADISONDL★3★3
STEFON THOMPSONNEBRASKALB★3★3
JEREMIAH WILSONHOUSTONDB★4★3
DAMIEN ALFORDUTAHWR★3★3
MYLES FARMERAPP STATEDB★3★3
AMAN GREENWOODAKRONDB★3★3
JUWAUN PRICENORTH TEXASRB★2★3
WES HOEHUCONNOL★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES84%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS67%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#38NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8684COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1929 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR65%65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST48%48th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE