SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|GARY PATTERSON|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
TCU#9 AP 12 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#284 BC / 19
BC RATIO
32%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs10.6-2.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+15.5
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HJACKSON STATE—W 63-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AARKANSAS—W 28-7835151+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HSMU—W 56-36453636+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AOKLAHOMA STATE#14W 44-31728989-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HWEST VIRGINIA—W 31-24686262+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AKANSAS STATE—W 26-6507878+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HKANSAS—W 43-0491111+77BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AIOWA STATE—L 7-14586666+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HTEXAS—W 24-7917777+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AOKLAHOMA#3L 20-38899595-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATEXAS TECH—W 27-3636060+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HBAYLOR—W 45-22744141+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2AOKLAHOMA#3L 17-41899595-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
KENNY HILLQB —RET
UNR—00%——
17
GRAYSON MUEHLSTEINQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MIKE COLLINSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
ASAPH ZAMORAQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
JACK ADAMSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET76NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
SEWO OLONILUARB SERET
★4—00%——
39
STACY BOYDRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
KYLE HICKSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
6
DARIUS ANDERSONRB SERET
★4—00%——
30
OMEGA STALLWORTHRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
EMARI DEMERCADORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
GABE MERIGIANFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
PAKAMIAIAEA DAVISFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JALEN REAGORWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
1
EMANUEL PORTERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
3
SHAUN NIXONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
10
DESMON WHITEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
2
TAJ WILLIAMSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
38
DAYTHAN DAVISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TY SLANINAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
9
JOHN DIARSEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
COLE HUNTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
13
ISAIAH GRAHAMWR SERET
★4—00%——
22
JARRISON STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
TREVONTAE HIGHTSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
KAVONTAE TURPINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
JAELAN AUSTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KENEDY SNELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
DYLAN THOMASWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
28
PATRICK ZELLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
COLE NOVAKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
ARTAYVIOUS LYNNTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
KARSON RINGDAHLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
NI'JEEL MEEKINGWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
36
RYAN MARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JASON D'ARMOREWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
NIVEN RAJWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL BYRD JR.WR YRNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JACK HEATHCOTTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
KADE WILLISWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
OMAR MANNINGWR —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
84
NATHAN HERNANDEZWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
ROBBIE FUELLINGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
43
MICHAEL CARROLLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
AUSTIN AHRENDTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
ARMANII GLASPIEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
CHARLIE REIDTE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
DANIEL WALSHWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
HUNTER HARRISWR —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN REAGORHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
OMAR MANNINGHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
WES HARRISHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
SHAWN ROBINSONHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
COREY BETHLEYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DENNIS COLLINSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
MICHAEL ONYEMAOBIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
LAKENDRICK VAN ZANDTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KENEDY SNELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AL'DONTRE DAVISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVORRIS JOHNSONOREGON STATERBUNRUNR
CYD CALVINABILENE CHRISTIANCBUNRUNR
FOSTER SAWYERSTEPHEN F. AUSTINQBUNRUNR
JOSH CARRAWAYNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
TIPA GALEAIELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
DEANTE GRAYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JAMES MCFARLANDNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
AARON CURRYNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
PRESTON MILLERNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
PAUL WHITMILLNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#28NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8638COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST87% BACK87th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG87% BACK87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR89%89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE