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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TCU›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|SONNY DYKES|—RECORD13-2|CONF—
TCU#2 AP 13 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
15%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#454 BC / 13
BC RATIO
28%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs9.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+15.3
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE92
PERFORMANCE92
TALENT69
CONTINUITY15
DEFENSE78
PERFORMANCE78
TALENT61
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE15 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ACOLORADO—W 38-135655+91BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HTARLETON STATE—W 59-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24ASMU—W 42-34555858+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HOKLAHOMA—W 55-24948686+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AKANSAS—W 38-31505454+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 43-40727777+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HKANSAS STATE#14W 38-28539494+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AWEST VIRGINIA—W 41-31695252+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HTEXAS TECH—W 34-24696969+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ATEXAS#25W 17-10969595+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ABAYLOR—W 29-28717878+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HIOWA STATE—W 62-14546060+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HKANSAS STATE#14L 28-31539494+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31AMICHIGAN#3W 51-45919999-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 9AGEORGIA#1L 7-6599100100-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL91PERF62RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
MAX DUGGANQB SERET
★4—9494%+12—
4
CHANDLER MORRISQB SERET
★4★3366%+27FELL
10
JOSH HOOVERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
25
LUKE PARDEEQB SORET
UNR—00%——
19
JACOB PORTERQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB61TAL44PERF61RET84ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
KENDRE MILLERRB JURET
★3—9649%+35—
3
EMARI DEMERCADORB SERET
UNR—8632%-13—
9
EMANI BAILEYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—5910%+34—
6
TRENT BATTLERB SERET
★3—496%——
23
TREVOR AILEYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
FRANKLIN ESTRADA IIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
BRANT AHLFINGERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE58TAL77PERF62RET74ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
JARED WILEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—9161%+20—
1
QUENTIN JOHNSTONWR JURET
★4—8921%+32—
3
SAVION WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—8820%-12—
4
TAYE BARBERWR SERET
★3—8218%+26—
11
DERIUS DAVISWR SERET
★3—8117%+20—
2
JORDAN HUDSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★4627%-5HELD
0
BLAIR CONWRIGHTWR SERET
★3★3617%+37HELD
8
GEOR'QUARIUS SPIVEYTE SERET
★3★35819%+49HELD
27
GUNNAR HENDERSONWR SERET
UNR—575%+35—
84
DOMINIC DINUNZIOTE JURET
UNR—5313%——
87
BLAKE NOWELLWR SERET
★3—503%——
4
QUINCY BROWNWR SERET
★4★3311%0FELL
47
CARTER WARETE SERET
UNR—293%——
81
CHASE CURTISTE SERET
UNR—242%——
6
CHASE JACKSONWR SORET
★3—130%——
0
DJ ROGERSTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
18
SAM JACKSON VWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
86
ALEX HONIGTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
CURTIS RAYMOND IIITE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
CALEB MEDFORDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
32
CHRISTIAN MACDONALDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
44
BEN REPPENHAGENTE SORET
UNR—00%——
41
HILTON HARRISTE SORET
★3—00%——
15
DJ ALLEN JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
3
MAJOR EVERHARTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
DREW SCOTTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
COLTON DOBSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
DYLAN ADAMSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
STAYTON ANKROMWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
20
CHRISTOPHER CHOSENWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
KEAGAN CUNNINGHAMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
PARKER CLARKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JOE STAUBACHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
41
HUNTER KREPPWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
AUSTIN SCHEETSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL44TAL64PERF44RET19n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL47TAL50PERF48RET51n=7 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB60TAL65PERF60RET66n=5 · 11 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸DB60TAL69PERF61RET63n=9 · 6 METRICS · 49 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN HUDSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CHACE BIDDLEHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DJ ALLEN JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MICHEAL IBUKUN-OKEYODEHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
MAJOR EVERHARTHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DAMONIC WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KYRON CHAMBERSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOSH HOOVERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
PAUL OYEWALEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CONNOR LINGRENHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PATRICK JENKINSTULANEDL★4UNR
OCHAUN MATHISNEBRASKADE★3UNR
KHARI COLEMANOLE MISSLB★3UNR
TYLER GUYTONOKLAHOMAOL★3UNR
MATTHEW DOWNINGLOUISIANA TECHQBUNR★2
MONTE WATKINSNEW MEXICO STATERB★4★4
MIKEL BARKLEYTOLEDOWRUNR★3
ZACH EVANSOLE MISSRB★5UNR
MICHAEL ONYEMAOBIELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
LA'KENDRICK VAN ZANDTELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#45NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8859COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST63%63th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE