SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TENNESSEE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|JOSH HEUPEL|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
TENNESSEE26 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
87FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-27IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#165 BC / 14
BC RATIO
37%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBOWLING GREEN—W 38-6201515+78BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HPITTSBURGH#13L 34-41749494-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HTENNESSEE TECH—W 56-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25AFLORIDA—L 14-38947878+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AMISSOURI—W 62-24684747+46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 45-20855050+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HOLE MISS#11L 26-31818888+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AALABAMA#2L 24-521009898-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AKENTUCKY#18W 45-42798383+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HGEORGIA#1L 17-4199100100-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 60-14272525+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HVANDERBILT—W 45-215966+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET24NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
JOE MILTON IIIQB SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★4★300%—FELL
15
HARRISON BAILEYQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
5
HENDON HOOKERQB SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★4★300%—FELL
3
GASTON MOOREQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
BRIAN MAURERQB SORET
★3—00%——
14
SPENCER SMITHQB SORET
★2—00%——
12
SULLY MCDERMOTTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET9NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
41
LEN'NETH WHITEHEADRB FRRET
★4★400%—HELD
JAYLEN WRIGHTRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
MARCUS PIERCERB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
TIYON EVANSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
2
JABARI SMALLRB SERET
★3—00%——
4
TEE HODGERB FRRET
★3—00%——
40
FRED ORRRB SORET
★2—00%——
25
ANTONIO MALONERB FRRET
UNR—00%——
28
PATRICK WILKRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DEE BECKWITHWR JURET
★4—00%——
GRANT FRERKINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
CEDRIC TILLMANWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
JACOB WARRENTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
JIMMY HOLIDAYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
JALIN HYATTWR JURET
★4—00%——
7
JIMMY CALLOWAYWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
1
VELUS JONES JR.WR SERET
★3—00%——
88
PRINCETON FANTTE SERET
★3—00%——
9
RAMEL KEYTONWR SERET
★4—00%——
89
HUNTER SALMONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
ANDISON COBYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
JAVONTA PAYTONWR SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★3★300%—HELD
1
WALKER MERRILLWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
81
AUSTIN POPETE SERET
★3—00%——
36
TANNER DOBRUCKYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
JULIAN NIXONTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
17
MICHAEL BITTNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
J.T. SIEKERMANWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
TRINITY BELLTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
MILES CAMPBELLTE SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
22
JACK JANCEKWR JURET
★2—00%——
19
NIGEL LANIERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AARON WILLISHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KAIDON SALTERHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
KAEMEN MARLEYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
WALKER MERRILLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JULIAN NIXONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DE'SHAWN RUCKERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WILL PARKERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MILES CAMPBELLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TRINITY BELLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CHRISTIAN CHARLESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUWAN MITCHELLTEXASLBUNR★3
JOE MILTON IIIMICHIGANQB★4★3
JAVONTA PAYTONMISSISSIPPI STATEWR★3★3
BRANDON TURNAGEALABAMACB★4★3
HENDON HOOKERVIRGINIA TECHPRO★4★3
CALEB TREMBLAYUSCDLUNR★4
CHASE MCGRATHUSCK★3★3
KAMAL HADDENAUBURNCB★2★3
WILLIAM MOHANMICHIGANLB★3★3
DA'JON TERRYKANSASDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ERIC GRAYOKLAHOMARB★4★4
TY CHANDLERNORTH CAROLINARB★4★4
DAREL MIDDLETONWEST VIRGINIADL★3★3
KEY LAWRENCEOKLAHOMADB★4★3
QUAVARIS CROUCHMICHIGAN STATELB★4★3
KENNEY SOLOMON IITULSACB★3UNR
SHAWN SHAMBURGERUT MARTINDB★3★3
JOHN MINCEYARKANSAS STATEDL★3★3
JARRETT GUARANTANOWASHINGTON STATEQB★4★3
KIVON BENNETTARKANSAS STATELB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#16NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8886COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1037 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST27% BACK27th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG27% BACK27th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR24%24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE