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HOME›TEAMS›TENNESSEE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|JOSH HEUPEL|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
TENNESSEE#6 AP 5 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
87FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#187 BC / 23
BC RATIO
34%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.1-1.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+23.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE100
PERFORMANCE100
TALENT76
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE77
PERFORMANCE77
TALENT78
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HBALL STATE—W 59-10131313+84BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10APITTSBURGH#22W 34-27687070+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HAKRON—W 63-63233+94BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HFLORIDA—W 38-33927575+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ALSU#16W 40-13959090+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HALABAMA#5W 52-491009898-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HUT MARTIN—W 65-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
9OCT 29HKENTUCKY—W 44-6818282+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AGEORGIA#1L 13-2799100100-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HMISSOURI—W 66-24786767+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ASOUTH CAROLINA#23L 38-63868080+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AVANDERBILT—W 56-0593535+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30ACLEMSON#13W 31-14979191+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB66TAL13PERF66RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
HENDON HOOKERQB SERET
★4★38479%+37FELL
7
JOE MILTON IIIQB SERET
★4★35618%+31FELL
2
TAYVEN JACKSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3131%—FELL
3
GASTON MOOREQB SERET
UNR—91%——
21
NAVY SHULERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB62TAL73PERF62RET82ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JABARI SMALLRB SERET
★3—8845%+7—
JAYLEN WRIGHTRB JURET
★3—8337%+29—
6
DYLAN SAMPSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—5914%+37—
6
JUSTIN WILLIAMS-THOMASRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3303%-40FELL
28
PATRICK WILKRB JURET
UNR—232%+8—
24
HUNTER BARNESRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
LYN-J DIXONRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
41
LEN'NETH WHITEHEADRB FRRET
★4★400%—HELD
▾WR/TE67TAL76PERF69RET74ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
BRU MCCOYWR SENO SNAPS
★4—9627%0—
11
JALIN HYATTWR JURET
★4—9626%+33—
9
RAMEL KEYTONWR SERET
★4—8319%+15—
87
JACOB WARRENTE SERET
★3—8248%-11—
88
PRINCETON FANTTE SERET
★3—7541%+32—
4
CEDRIC TILLMANWR SERET
★3—7314%+21—
4
SQUIRREL WHITEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★4638%+38ROSE
89
HUNTER SALMONTE SERET
UNR—449%——
1
WALKER MERRILLWR SERET
★4★3392%-24FELL
6
JIMMY HOLIDAYWR SERET
★3★3361%—HELD
7
JIMMY CALLOWAYWR SERET
★4★3261%—FELL
5
CHAS NIMRODWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3231%—HELD
2
KALEB WEBBWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3201%—FELL
GRANT FRERKINGWR SERET
UNR—201%——
22
JACK JANCEKWR JURET
★2—180%——
81
MILES CAMPBELLTE SERET
★3★4141%—ROSE
17
MICHAEL BITTNERWR SERET
UNR—130%——
88
CHARLIE BROWDERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—101%——
19
NIGEL LANIERWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
44
TITUS ROHRERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL70TAL85PERF70RET18n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL58TAL88PERF58RET86n=14 · 8 METRICS · 67 OBS
▸LB60TAL77PERF60RET91n=6 · 10 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB54TAL71PERF54RET84n=12 · 8 METRICS · 65 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ADDISON NICHOLSHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
TYRE WESTHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TAYVEN JACKSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
JAMES PEARCE JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
JUSTIN WILLIAMS-THOMASHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
KALEB WEBBHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JOSHUA JOSEPHSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
CAM MILLERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DYLAN SAMPSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SQUIRREL WHITEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEE BECKWITHKENTUCKYWR★4UNR
CJ TAYLORVANDERBILTS★3UNR
HARRISON BAILEYUNLVQB★4★3
TIYON EVANSLOUISVILLERB★4UNR
MORVEN JOSEPHFLORIDA ATLANTICLB★4★3
AARON WILLISHOUSTONLB★4★4
ANDISON COBYINDIANAWR★3UNR
MATTHEW BUTLERELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
CALEB TREMBLAYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KENNETH GEORGE JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#18NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8780COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST81% BACK81th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG81% BACK81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR18%18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE