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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|STEVE SARKISIAN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
TEXAS24 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1712 BC / 23
BC RATIO
61%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.2
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HLOUISIANA#16W 38-183164640BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11AARKANSAS#21L 21-40808484-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HRICE—W 58-02833+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HTEXAS TECH—W 70-35587070-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ATCU—W 32-27753838+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HOKLAHOMA#10L 48-55969191-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HOKLAHOMA STATE#7L 24-32619191-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ABAYLOR#5L 24-31718989-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AIOWA STATE—L 7-30618686-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HKANSAS—L 56-574855+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AWEST VIRGINIA—L 23-31604545+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HKANSAS STATE—W 22-17528585-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET6NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
HUDSON CARDQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
16
CASEY THOMPSONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
19
BEN BALLARDQB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
14
CHARLES WRIGHTQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET76NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ROSCHON JOHNSONRB SERET
★4—00%——
11
D.J. HARRISFB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
24
JONATHON BROOKSRB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
31
GABRIEL WATSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
KEILAN ROBINSONRB SEPORTAL · ALABAMA
★5★300%—FELL
5
BIJAN ROBINSONRB JURET
★5—00%——
32
DANIEL YOUNGRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
JARRETT SMITHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
27
SKYLER BONNEAURB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ANTON SIMIEOURB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
48
PATRICK BAYOUTHTE SERET
★3—00%——
13
JORDAN WHITTINGTONWR SERET
★5—00%——
83
KAI MONEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
16
MARCUS WASHINGTONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
1
XAVIER WORTHYWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
81
JUAN DAVISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
JOSHUA MOOREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
CADE BREWERTE SERET
★3—00%——
19
JARED WILEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
MOOCHIE DIXONWR SERET
★4—00%——
39
MONTRELL ESTELLWR SERET
★4—00%——
89
TRAVIS WESTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
AL'VONTE WOODARDWR SERET
★4—00%——
82
KARTIK AKKIHALWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
PARKER ALFORDWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
BRAYDEN LIEBROCKTE JURET
★4—00%——
5
TROY OMEIREWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
JA'TAVION SANDERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
28
JADEN HULLABYTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
12
JADEN ALEXISWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
42
NATHAN HATTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
GUNNAR HELMTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
PAXTON ANDERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'TAVION SANDERSHS RECRUITATH★5UNR
XAVIER WORTHYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JD COFFEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ISHMAEL IBRAHEEMHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JAMIER JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
D.J. HARRIS JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
JORDON THOMASHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TERRENCE COOKS IIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JADEN ALEXISHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JONATHON BROOKSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEILAN ROBINSONALABAMARB★5★3
RAY THORNTONLSUOLB★4★3
DARION DUNNMCNEESECBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVION ALFORDUSCDB★2★3
JUWAN MITCHELLTENNESSEELBUNR★3
MALCOLM EPPSUSCTE★4★3
JALEN GREENMISSISSIPPI STATES★4★3
KEAONTAY INGRAMUSCRB★4★3
SAM EHLINGERNFL DRAFT R6QB★4—
TA'QUON GRAHAMNFL DRAFT R5DL★4—
CADEN STERNSNFL DRAFT R5DB★5—
JOSEPH OSSAINFL DRAFT R3LB★4—
JAKE SMITHELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#17NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
12OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8918COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
715 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE