SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|STEVE SARKISIAN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
TEXAS#12 AP 11 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
98FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
72%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
70%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#119 BC / 25
BC RATIO
71%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.8
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT92
CONTINUITY72
DEFENSE81
PERFORMANCE81
TALENT93
CONTINUITY70
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AOHIO STATE#5L 7-14999999-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 38-7211313+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HUTEP—W 27-102755+83BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HSAM HOUSTON—W 55-01111+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AFLORIDA—L 21-29925454+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HOKLAHOMA#13W 23-6919090-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AKENTUCKY—W 16-13815151+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 45-38835757+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HVANDERBILT#15W 34-31619393-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AGEORGIA#6L 10-351009696-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HARKANSAS—W 52-37846161+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28HTEXAS A&M#8W 27-17959494-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31HMICHIGAN#21W 41-27938282+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL98PERF69RET98ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
ARCH MANNINGQB JURET
★5—9698%+17—
18
MATTHEW CALDWELLQB SEPORTAL · TROY
UNR★3262%+12EMERGED
9
KARLE LACEY JR.QB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
18
JOE TATUMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
TREY OWENSQB JURET
★4★300%—FELL
25
LUKE DUNHAMQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB55TAL93PERF55RET57ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
QUINTREVION WISNERRB SERET
★3★49247%-17ROSE
1
CJ BAXTERRB SERET
★5★37020%-10FELL
10
CHRISTIAN CLARKRB SORET
★4★36919%-33FELL
4
JERRICK GIBSONRB SORET
★4★3548%-5FELL
31
JAMES SIMONRB FRTRUE FR
★4—496%-38—
21
RYAN NIBLETTRB JURET
★4—433%-5—
11
MICHAEL TERRY IIIRB FRTRUE FR
★4—91%——
27
COLIN PAGERB SERET
UNR—00%+8—
24
RICKEY STEWART JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
33
CARSON BERGERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE68TAL93PERF71RET43ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JACK ENDRIESTE JUPORTAL · CALIFORNIA
★3★49757%+48ROSE
1
RYAN WINGOWR JURET
★4—9228%+22—
3
PARKER LIVINGSTONEWR SORET
★4★48523%+20HELD
3
DEANDRE MOORE JR.WR SERET
★4★48321%+9HELD
3
EMMETT MOSLEY VWR JUPORTAL · STANFORD
★3★37516%+24HELD
80
JORDAN WASHINGTONTE SORET
★4★36717%+9FELL
83
SPENCER SHANNONTE JURET
★3—6414%——
17
DAYLAN MCCUTCHEONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—596%-40—
81
NICK TOWNSENDTE SONO SNAPS
★4—569%——
85
EMAREE WINSTONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—342%——
7
KALIQ LOCKETTWR FRTRUE FR
★5—332%——
0
AARON BUTLERWR SORET
★4★3201%—FELL
10
JAIME FFRENCHWR SONO SNAPS
★4—150%——
35
RETT ANDERSENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
BRYCE CHAMBERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
HUDSON POWELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
WILL RANDLETE JURET
★3—00%——
36
QUINN MERRITTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
REMY PATSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
39
HAMILTON MCMARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
RIDGE BARKERTE JURET
★3—00%——
89
TY BOATRIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL61TAL89PERF61RET86n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL67TAL93PERF67RET36n=10 · 7 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB78TAL90PERF79RET88n=7 · 11 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸DB67TAL95PERF67RET78n=13 · 6 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JONAH WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★5UNR
JUSTUS TERRYHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
KALIQ LOCKETTHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
LANCE JACKSONHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
KADE PHILLIPSHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
JAIME FFRENCH JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MICHAEL TERRY IIIHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
GRACESON LITTLETONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ELIJAH BARNESHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
NICK TOWNSENDHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARAAD WATSONSYRACUSEDL★3★4
JACK ENDRIESCALIFORNIATE★3★4
TRAVIS SHAWNORTH CAROLINADL★5★4
HERO KANUOHIO STATEDL★4★3
LAVON JOHNSONMARYLANDDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTICE FINKLEYKANSASDE★4★3
AMARI NIBLACKTEXAS A&MTE★4★4
JOHNTAY COOK IISYRACUSEWR★5★3
TIAOALII SAVEAARIZONADL★4★3
JAY'VION COLEARIZONACB★2★3
AARON BRYANTVANDERBILTDL★4★3
MALIK AGBOWEST VIRGINIAOL★4★3
JARAY BLEDSOEMISSISSIPPI STATEDL★4★3
DERION GULLETTEMISSISSIPPI STATELB★4★3
REID WATKINSSOUTH DAKOTARBUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES37%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS67%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
19OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9363COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1113 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE