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HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS A&M›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|JIMBO FISHER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
TEXAS A&M35 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
98FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
9%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#127 BC / 30
BC RATIO
70%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE59
PERFORMANCE59
TALENT83
CONTINUITY9
DEFENSE90
PERFORMANCE90
TALENT87
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HSAM HOUSTON—W 31-07———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HAPP STATE—L 14-17335050+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HMIAMI—W 17-9914242+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HARKANSAS—W 23-21827878-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AMISSISSIPPI STATE#20L 24-42808686-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AALABAMA#5L 20-241009898-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ASOUTH CAROLINA#23L 24-30868080-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HOLE MISS—L 28-31849090-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HFLORIDA—L 24-41927575-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AAUBURN—L 10-13885959+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HMASSACHUSETTS—W 20-31200+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HLSU#16W 38-23959090-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL71PERF59RET45ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
HAYNES KINGQB SERET
★4★36845%-17FELL
1
CONNER WEIGMANQB JUNO SNAPS
★5★46635%-29FELL
7
MAX JOHNSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★35721%-5FELL
14
BLAKE BOSTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
JACKSON OKSNEEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
21
DALLAS NOVICKEQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB51TAL93PERF51RET94ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DEVON ACHANERB JURET
★4—9977%+23—
5
AMARI DANIELSRB SERET
★4—5913%+11—
8
LE'VEON MOSSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—466%-40—
11
LJ JOHNSON JR.RB SERET
★4★3282%+26FELL
24
EARNEST CROWNOVERRB SERET
UNR—191%-48—
35
BLADEN REAVESRB JURET
UNR—00%——
41
AJ DINOTARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
CHARLES SHELLINGRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE53TAL79PERF50RET43ONE OWNERn=10 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
EVAN STEWARTWR SENO SNAPS
★5★59428%-3HELD
81
DONOVAN GREENTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★38955%-19FELL
7
MOOSE MUHAMMAD IIIWR SERET
★4—8622%+28—
42
MAX WRIGHTTE SERET
★4—6929%+3—
5
NOAH THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
★4★46610%-64HELD
6
CHRIS MARSHALLWR JUNO SNAPS
★5★36610%-53FELL
5
JALEN PRESTONWR SERET
★4—618%-3—
7
CHASE LANEWR SERET
★3★3618%-43HELD
AINIAS SMITHWR SERET
★3—618%+34—
88
DEVIN PRICEWR SERET
★3★3576%-51HELD
16
BLAKE SMITHTE JURET
★3★3469%—HELD
16
BLAKE SMITHTE JURET
★3★3469%—HELD
19
JAKE JOHNSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★3416%—FELL
9
ELI STOWERSTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
89
FERNANDO GARZA IIITE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
YULKEITH BROWNWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
16
KENYON JACKSONWR JURET
★4—00%——
17
THEO MELIN OHRSTROMTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
83
RYAN CAMPBELLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
83
ANDREW MALESKIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
JAXON RUSHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
PIERCE TURNERWR FRTRUE FR
★5—00%——
80
HUNTER VIVALDIWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
JACOB BRASHERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL40TAL84PERF40RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL56TAL93PERF56RET50n=12 · 7 METRICS · 59 OBS
▸LB67TAL77PERF67RET93n=4 · 10 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DB84TAL87PERF84RET78n=12 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WALTER NOLENHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
SHEMAR STEWARTHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
EVAN STEWARTHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
LT OVERTONHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
GABRIEL BROWNLOW-DINDYHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
CONNER WEIGMANHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
DENVER HARRISHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
CHRIS MARSHALLHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
JACOBY MATHEWSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ENAI WHITEHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARVON HUBBARDTEMPLERB★3★3
DEONDRE JACKSONOKLAHOMA STATERB★4UNR
CALEB CHAPMANOREGONWR★4★4
ANTONIO DOYLE JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDE★4—
DALLAS WALKER IVELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
AARON HANSFORDELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
MICHEAL CLEMONSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KELDRICK CARPERELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
JAYDEN PEEVYELIGIBILITY UPDL★4—
ZACH CALZADAELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
27OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9500COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST34% BACK34th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG34% BACK34th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR45%45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE