SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
PAC-12|EVERETT WITHERS|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
TEXAS STATE126 FPIPAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
8FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#920 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs2.1-9.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-16.3
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HHOUSTON CHRISTIAN—W 20-11————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ACOLORADO—L 3-37595050-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HAPP STATE—L 13-20215555-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUTSA—L 14-44113838-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AWYOMING—L 10-4583838-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HUL MONROE—L 27-45141414-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ALOUISIANA—L 7-24161010-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 27-74———NON-FBS OPPONENT
10NOV 4HNEW MEXICO STATE—L 35-4562222-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HGEORGIA STATE—L 30-33271313-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AARKANSAS STATE—L 12-30414848-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATROY—L 9-62264949-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
DAMIAN WILLIAMSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
WILLIE JONES IIIQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
JAYLEN GIPSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
MICHAEL ROSSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
KISHAWN KELLEYQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
PATRICK GONZALESQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET4NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ROBERT BROWN JR.RB SERET
★2—00%——
5
JAYLIN NELSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
ANTHONY D. TAYLORRB SERET
★2—00%——
26
JORDAN VERSEYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
41
LEDARRIUS HARRISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
ROBERT BROWN, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
TYLER TUTTRB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
41
JEFF BANKSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
32
GABE SCHRADETE —RET
UNR—00%——
49
HUNTER HEBERTTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
ELIJAH KINGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
10
MASON HAYSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
HUTCH WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
BRENDON RUSHINGTE SERET
★2—00%——
11
ERIC LUNAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
CHRIS FRENCHTE —RET
UNR—00%——
22
THURMAN MORBLEYWR —RET
★2—00%——
24
CALEB TWYFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
KORDELL RODGERSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
CHANDLER SPEIGHTSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JEREMIAH HAYDELWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
1
TYLER WATTSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
ELIJAH ROGERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
KELTON POWELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
T.J. BEDFORDWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
28
LINCOLN WARRENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
DYLAN TAYLORWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
LUKE KRETSCHMERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
36
DEZEAN GARDNERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
CHASE COCHRANETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KIESTON ROACHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYLIN NELSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KISHAWN KELLEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYLEN GIPSONHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JOHN BRANNONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JAKHARIOUS SMITHHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ANTHONY SMITHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JOSH NEWMANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
GJEMAR DANIELSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KORDELL RODGERSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON MCDOWELLHOUSTONCBUNRUNR
CAMYRON BROWNNOT LISTEDSUNR—
INOKE LANGINOT LISTEDTEUNR—
TERON FITZGERALDNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JAVANTE O'ROYNOT LISTEDSUNR—
LUMI KABANOT LISTEDPKUNR—
TYLER SIUDZINSKINOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JOSH ULUOCHANOT LISTEDNTUNR—
L.G. WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
WILLIE WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDGUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#92NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7955COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST24% BACK24th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG24% BACK24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE