SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TOLEDO›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JASON CANDLE|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
TOLEDO72 FPIMAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
42FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#670 BC / 27
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.9
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HVMI—W 66-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15HMIAMI—L 24-49868080-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HNEVADA—W 63-44374141+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AFRESNO STATE#18L 27-49428888-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HBOWLING GREEN—W 52-362533+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 26-28143434+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HBUFFALO—L 17-31233737+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 51-24392020+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 31HBALL STATE—W 45-132199+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 15-38373232+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AKENT STATE—W 56-341844+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 51-133466+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET1NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
MITCHELL GUADAGNIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
CROSS WILKINSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
13
JALEN REESEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ELI PETERSQB SERET
★3—00%——
2
CARTER BRADLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET48NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
RONNIE JONESRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
SHAKIF SEYMOURRB SERET
★3—00%——
34
NEVONE MCCRIMMONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
23
NICHOLAS SIMSRB FRRET
★3—00%——
1
ART THOMPKINSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
BRYANT KOBACKRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DESMOND PHILLIPSWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
REGGIE GILLIAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
DARIUS CORBETTWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
8
ANDREW DAVISWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
JON'VEA JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
DANZEL MCKINLEY-LEWISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
DEAMONTE KINGWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
BRYCE MITCHELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
DREW ROSITE SERET
★3—00%——
9
JAMAL TURNERTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
CODY THOMPSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
DIONTAE JOHNSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
32
RHETT BLACKMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
29
DAKARI CARTERWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
15
NERU N'SHAKAWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
NICK KOVACSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
BLAKE BLEVINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
ANTHONY HARRISONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
40
DOUG BATESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
MATT HEUERMANTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALYNN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CARTER BRADLEYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DERRIUS MULLINSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JALIN COOPERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LAVEL DUMONTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SAMUEL BAKERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DANIEL BOLDENHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
D'ANDRE RAGINHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TERRANCE TAYLORHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DEVAN ROGERSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AARON COVINGTONCAMPBELLCBUNRUNR
LOGAN WOODSIDENFL DRAFT R7QBUNR—
MALIK JONESNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
MICHAEL JULIANNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DARRYL RICHARDSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
KENNEDY FRAZIERNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JACK LINCHNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ZACH QUINNNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
MARQUISE MOORENOT LISTEDDTUNR—
ELIJAH NKANSAHNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#67NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8280COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE