SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TROY›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SUN BELT|CHIP LINDSEY|—RECORD5-6|CONF—
TROY92 FPISBC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
19FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#840 BC / 18
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-6ACTUALvs5.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
3SEP 19AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 47-14351313+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26ABYU#11L 7-48469595-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HTEXAS STATE—W 37-17271111+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HEASTERN KENTUCKY—W 31-29————NON-FBS OPPONENT
8OCT 24HGEORGIA STATE—L 34-36202929+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AARKANSAS STATE—W 38-10292828+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 13-20214848+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 17-20351313+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AAPP STATE—L 10-47267979-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 29-0151515+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HCOASTAL CAROLINA#14L 38-4287272-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET5NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
GUNNAR WATSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
KYLE TOOLEQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
JACOB FREEQB JURET
★3—00%——
17
PARKER MCNEILQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
11
ALEX MOOREQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET62NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
DK BILLINGSLEYRB SERET
★2—00%——
25
JOSH MAYSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
26
B.J. SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
1
JAMONTEZ WOODSRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
28
KIMANI VIDALRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
CHARLES STRONGRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
CHARLES STRONGRB SORET
★3—00%——
40
HARRISON O'DANIELFB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
45
WILLIAM HOOPERFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
AUSTIN GAVINRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LUKE WHITTEMOREWR JURET
★3—00%——
4
MARCUS ROGERSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
BRET CLARKWR JURET
★2—00%——
10
KAYLON GEIGERWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
6
KHALIL MCCLAINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
REGGIE TODDWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
TRE' ROSSTE SORET
★3—00%——
16
DALTON ADKISONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
13
TRAY EAFFORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
TYLER HUSSEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
AJ LEWISTE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
DEMONTREZ BROWNWR JURET
★3—00%——
2
DEYUNKREA LEWISTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
TEZ JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
REID RIALSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
SAM LETTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
TREY CORYELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
JADEN WARRENWR SORET
★3—00%——
1
JABRE BARBERWR SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
7
MARCUS ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
BRYCE CHILDRESSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
BRYCE KELLYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
25
ROBERT MARSHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KIMANI VIDALHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KYLE TOOLEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
LUIS MEDINAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
GAGE SAINTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEYUNKREA LEWISHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TEZ JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DARRELL STARLINGHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOSH BROWNHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYLON BEASLEYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
LOGAN SELFHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL SUNDERLANDELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JAWON MCDOWELLELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
MELVIN TYUSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
A.J. SMILEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ZACC WELDONELIGIBILITY UPFBUNR—
KALEB BARKERELIGIBILITY UPQB★2—
MARCUS WEBBELIGIBILITY UPDT★2—
TRISTAN CROWDERELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
J.L. GASTONELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
TRAVIS SAILOELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#84NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8231COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE