SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TROY›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|CHIP LINDSEY|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
TROY98 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1040 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.1-6.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HSOUTHERN—W 55-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HLIBERTY—L 13-2176363-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ASOUTHERN MISS—W 21-9391111+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AUL MONROE—L 16-291255+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 14-23855050-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 27-24211010+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ATEXAS STATE—W 31-283099+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 28-35288181-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 31-24272525+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HLOUISIANA#16L 21-35316464-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HAPP STATE—L 7-45357373-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AGEORGIA STATE—L 10-37264545-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
TAYLOR POWELLQB SEPORTAL · MISSOURI
★3★300%—HELD
18
GUNNAR WATSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
KYLE TOOLEQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
12
QUAYDE HAWKINSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
DK BILLINGSLEYRB SERET
★2—00%——
26
B.J. SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
1
JAMONTEZ WOODSRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
28
KIMANI VIDALRB JURET
★3—00%——
25
CHARLES STRONGRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
25
JOSH MAYSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
4
JARRIS WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
DAMIEN TAYLORRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LUKE WHITTEMOREWR JURET
★3—00%——
4
MARCUS ROGERSWR SERET
★2—00%——
2
REGGIE TODDWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
AJ LEWISTE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
DEMONTREZ BROWNWR JURET
★3—00%——
2
DEYUNKREA LEWISTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
1
JABRE BARBERWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
15
TEZ JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
DESHON STOUDEMIREWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
KYRAN GRIFFIN-ISOMWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
TRE' ROSSTE SORET
★3—00%——
87
JADEN WARRENWR SORET
★3—00%——
2
PEYTON HIGGINSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
OLLIE FINCH JRWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
BRYCE KELLYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
25
ROBERT MARSHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
CLAYTON OLLENDIECKTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARRIS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
IVAN SHULTZHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
PHILLIP LEEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
QUAYDE HAWKINSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JORDAN STRINGERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
PEYTON HIGGINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAMIEN TAYLORHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LAWSON CHANDLERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
OLLIE FINCHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
STERLING ROBERTSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN ANTHONYMICHIGANLB★4★3
TAYLOR POWELLMISSOURIQB★3★3
JAMARCUS CHATMANFLORIDA STATEDL★3★3
TAIYON PALMERNC STATECB★4★4
KEVON GLENNFLORIDA STATELB★3★3
LA’DAMIAN WEBBFLORIDA STATERBUNRUNR
LUKE MAGLIOZZIUCONNPUNRUNR
ELIJAH CULPAUSTIN PEAYCBUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN WHISENHUNTCHARLOTTELB★2★2
KAYLON GEIGERTEXAS TECHWR★3★2
PARKER MCNEILELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
TERENCE DUNLAPELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
KHALIL MCCLAINELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TRAY EAFFORDELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JACOB FREENOT LISTEDQB★3—
MICAH MURPHYNOT LISTEDSUNR—
BRET CLARKNOT LISTEDWR★2—
SHON SPRALLINGNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#104NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8263COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
89 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR66%66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE