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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG TEN|DESHAUN FOSTER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
UCLA58 FPIB1G · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
68%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
60%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#902 BC / 11
BC RATIO
32%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs3.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE58
PERFORMANCE58
TALENT66
CONTINUITY68
DEFENSE71
PERFORMANCE71
TALENT62
CONTINUITY60
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AHAWAI'I—W 16-13222020+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HINDIANA#10L 13-42599292-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ALSU—L 17-34948989-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HOREGON#3L 13-34969999-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5APENN STATE#5L 11-27939797-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HMINNESOTA—L 17-21688080-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ARUTGERS—W 35-32586969-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ANEBRASKA—W 27-20846666-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HIOWA—W 20-17728989-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AWASHINGTON—L 19-31755757-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HUSC—L 13-19908383-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HFRESNO STATE—W 20-13363737+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB56TAL83PERF56RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
ETHAN GARBERSQB SERET
★4★39192%+24FELL
16
JUSTYN MARTINQB SERET
★4★3458%+34FELL
11
CHASE GRIFFINQB SERET
★3—00%+7—
12
NICK BILLOUPSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
LUKE DUNCANQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
19
KARSON GORDONQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
18
HENRY HASSELBECKQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB50TAL47PERF50RET77ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
T.J. HARDENRB SERET
★3—9453%+13—
22
KEEGAN JONESRB SERET
★2★37624%+32ROSE
0
JALEN BERGERRB SENO SNAPS
★4★36917%-26FELL
22
ANTHONY FRIAS IIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—445%-59—
44
LEO KEMPFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—91%——
23
ANTHONY ADKINSRB SERET
★3★350%+1HELD
31
DESHUN MURRELLRB JURET
★3★400%—ROSE
27
ISAIAH CARLSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
32
TROY LEIGBERRB JURET
★3—00%——
44
PETER BARIORB JURET
UNR—00%——
20
CAMERON JONESRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE48TAL77PERF44RET58ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
MOLIKI MATAVAOTE SERET
★4★39351%+15FELL
9
J. MICHAEL STURDIVANTWR SERET
★4—9226%-12—
11
KWAZI GILMERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★38722%-28FELL
2
TITUS MOKIAO-ATIMALALAWR SERET
★4—8622%-20—
17
LOGAN LOYAWR SERET
★4★37716%+11FELL
28
JACK PEDERSENTE SERET
★4★37527%-5FELL
87
BRYCE PIERRETE SEPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
UNR★36719%-15EMERGED
11
RICO FLORES JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★3669%+7FELL
15
CARTER SHAWWR JURET
★3★3524%—HELD
89
MICHAEL CHURICHTE SERET
★2—343%——
4
EZAVIER STAPLESWR SERET
★3★3201%—HELD
7
BRADEN PEGANWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
83
RUSSELL WEIRWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
SAM SUMMATE JURET
UNR—00%——
81
HUDSON HABERMEHLTE SERET
UNR—00%+14—
35
DEVANTI DILLARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
GRANT GRAYWR FRRET
★4—00%——
▸OL32TAL56PERF32RET76n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL35TAL66PERF35RET75n=7 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸LB58TAL59PERF58RET100n=6 · 11 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB56TAL62PERF56RET31n=7 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KWAZI GILMERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MARK SCHROLLERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CAMERON JONESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAMIR BENJAMINHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MARQUISE THORPE-TAYLORHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ISAIAH PATTERSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KHRISTIAN DUNBAR-HAWKINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JENSEN SOMERVILLEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KARSON GORDONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HENRY HASSELBECKHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN15 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RICO FLORESNOTRE DAMEWRUNR★4
DERMARICUS DAVISWASHINGTONQBUNR★4
COLLINS ACHEAMPONGMIAMIEDGE★4★3
MICHAEL CARMODYNOTRE DAMEOT★4★3
LUKE SCHUERMANNJOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITYDLUNR★3
K.J. WALLACEGEORGIA TECHCB★4★3
KAYLIN MOORECALIFORNIACB★5★3
CHERIF SEYEFLORIDA A&MEDGEUNR★3
JACOB BUSICNAVYEDGEUNR★3
RAMON HENDERSONNOTRE DAMES★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRUNO FINADUKEOL★3★3
JOHN HUMPHREYUSCCB★4★3
KAMARI RAMSEYUSCS★4★4
WILLIAM NIMMO JR.SAN DIEGO STATES★3★3
CARSEN RYANUTAHTE★4★3
DANTE MOOREOREGONQB★3★4
KYLE FORDUSCWR★4★3
KAM BROWNPURDUEWR★4★3
CHOE BRYANT-STROTHERBYULB★3★3
JAKE WILEYHOUSTONOL★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES53%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS38%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#90NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8825COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2120 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST47% BACK47th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG47% BACK47th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR76%76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST31%31th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE