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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UL MONROE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|MATT VIATOR|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
UL MONROE105 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
12FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1180 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.2
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HSE LOUISIANA—W 34-31————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8ASOUTHERN MISS—W 21-20272929-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ATEXAS A&M#16L 10-48899292-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HTROY—L 27-35185353-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AGEORGIA STATE—L 14-463144+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AOLE MISS—L 21-70857575-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 45-2091111+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HTEXAS STATE—W 20-1491212+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 44-25103333-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 38-10301010+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AARKANSAS STATE—L 17-31384545-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HLOUISIANA—L 28-31262828-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET85NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JT JACKSONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CALEB EVANSQB SERET
★2—00%——
9
COLBY SUITSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
MATT GARDNERQB SORET
UNR—00%——
13
BRENNEN WOOTENQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET76NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
HUNTER SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
AUSTIN VAUGHNRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JOSH JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
44
DERRICK GORERB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
KAYIN WHITERB JURET
★2—00%——
3
ISAIAH PHILLIPSRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
SLOAN SPILLERFB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JAVIN MYERSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
JAKYLE HOLMESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
XAVIER BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
MARKIS MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JONATHAN HODOHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JAHQUAN BLOOMFIELDWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
PERRY CARTERWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
4
BRANDIUS BATISTEWR JURET
★2—00%——
88
TYLER LAMMTE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
2
R.J. TURNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JOSH PEDERSONTE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
3
MARCUS GREENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
D'MARIUS GILLESPIEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
DARIUS RODRIGUEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
7
ZACH JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
CAMERON DARLINGTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
37
DEUCE CASTONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
9
CJ FLETCHERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CALEB LABOYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
DONAVON HICKMANTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
WILL DERRICKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
CHASE GREENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
DARIN TURNERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JAYLAN BEENEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
REAGAN HEDDINSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
30
STEPHEN COLVINWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
PERRY CARTER JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALIK JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAYONTE ROBERTSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
COLBY SUITSHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
BLAKE LODESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KEYSHAWN JOHNSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BACARI MIDDLETONHS RECRUITS★2UNR
BRANDON NETTLESHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
MYLES COLEHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
CONNER PARSONSHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
JORDAN OLIVERHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB TUCKERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BRIAN WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ROLAND JENKINSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JARRED DUNNNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JUWAN OFFRAYNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
GARRETT SMITHNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
BEN LUCKETTNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
HARRISON HEIMNOT LISTEDPUNR—
WILL COLLINSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DUKE CARTER IVNOT LISTEDRB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#118NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7890COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST81% BACK81th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG81% BACK81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE