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HOME›TEAMS›UL MONROE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SUN BELT|TERRY BOWDEN|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
UL MONROE130 FPISBC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
10FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
43%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-14IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1260 BC / 11
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs1.9-10.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-17.6
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE7
PERFORMANCE7
TALENT30
CONTINUITY74
DEFENSE18
PERFORMANCE18
TALENT42
CONTINUITY43
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HARMY—W 17-1314141-39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HLAMAR—W 24-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16ATEXAS A&M—L 3-47988989-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HAPP STATE—L 40-41396161-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 7-55426464-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ATEXAS STATE—L 20-21324747-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 28-38233939-37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HARKANSAS STATE—L 24-34343737-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ASOUTHERN MISS—L 7-24231313-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HTROY—L 14-45278181-79BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AOLE MISS—L 3-35849292-90BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ALOUISIANA—L 21-52315353-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB37TAL18PERF37RET65ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
JIYA WRIGHTQB SERET
★2—7465%-25—
BLAKE MURPHYQB SONO SNAPS
★3★36333%-16HELD
15
BRIAN GARCIAQB JURET
UNR—142%——
9
LANDON GRAVESQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
BROOKS ANZALONEQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB55TAL23PERF56RET57ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
ISAIAH WOULLARDRB SENO SNAPS
★2★37940%-23ROSE
29
HUNTER SMITHRB SERET
★3★37636%+12HELD
26
BENNETT GALLOWAYRB SORET
★3—5814%+27—
23
CHARLIE NORMANRB SERET
UNR—447%-25—
0
THAD FRANKLIN JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—344%+25—
24
CHRIS SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
ZA'MARION WEBBERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
0
BRADY TILLMAN IIIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE51TAL30PERF46RET72ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TYRONE HOWELLWR SERET
★3—9327%+24—
87
NOLAN QUINLANTE SERET
UNR—8965%+19—
1
DARIYAN WILEYWR SERET
★3★28623%-10FELL
3
NYNY DAVISWR SOPORTAL · UTAH STATE
★3★27617%-41FELL
1
DASH LUKEWR SERET
UNR—7013%-10—
9
BUGS MORTIMERWR JURET
★4—6611%+27—
85
RYLAN GREENTE SERET
★3—6427%-40—
BUD TOLBERTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—566%-52—
12
GARRETT KAHMANNTE JURET
★3—334%——
84
QUAD HARRISONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—324%——
19
JUSTIN KIMBERWR JURET
★3★3321%—HELD
87
JAEDYN MCKINSTRYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3251%—HELD
84
TRISTAN WILEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—191%——
14
JALEN JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—100%——
PARKER HILLWR SORET
UNR—100%——
81
JOHN BARRWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—100%——
88
JORDAN CRUMPTONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
MAX MCGEEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
85
HUNTER HERRINGTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
34
BROC HOGANWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
7
MARC BRITT IIWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
82
SI STOVALLTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
TRENT GINNWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
STEVEN GORSKITE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
ELI MORRISONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
COOPER ELDRIDGETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
ANTHONY HOLLOWAYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL32PERF52RET90n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL58TAL56PERF58RET28n=7 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB47TAL28PERF47RET46n=9 · 10 METRICS · 64 OBS
▸DB41TAL37PERF41RET51n=8 · 6 METRICS · 36 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAKE MURPHYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
SI STOVALLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LA'GARRIUS SIMSHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
SHITEZ WILKERSONHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
BRADY TILLMAN IIIHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
CARMELO CRUMPHS RECRUITIOLUNRUNR
IMMANUEL HAWKINSHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
QWAY MCCOYHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
EVAN BLALOCKHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
ZACH MOOREHS RECRUITIOLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVELL JOHNSONTEXASLB★4★3
DONELL HARRISTEXAS A&MEDGEUNR★5
NYNY DAVISUTAH STATEWR★3★3
ANDREW VOLMARFLORIDA INTERNATIONALCB★3★3
AUSTIN GOFFNEYLAMARSUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT47 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
VIC CUTLEROHIO STATEOL★2UNR
QUAE DRAKEJACKSONVILLE STATELB★3★3
PEYTON DUNNHOUSTONOL★2★3
JABARI JOHNSONSAM HOUSTONDB★2UNR
QUINCY LEDET JR.TEXAS TECHDL★3UNR
CHANDLER ROGERSNORTH TEXASQB★3UNR
SETH MASONSAM HOUSTONDL★2★2
MALIK JACKSONJACKSONVILLE STATERBUNR★3
COOPER WEBBUNLVDLUNRUNR
ANTHONY CAMPBELLMIAMIDLUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES96%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS58%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#126NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8186COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
519 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST12% BACK12th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG12% BACK12th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR65%65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST51%51th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE