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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UNLV›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TONY SANCHEZ|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
UNLV110 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#990 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.2-7.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.5
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AUSC—L 21-43987474-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HUTEP—W 52-241500+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HPRAIRIE VIEW A&M—W 46-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22AARKANSAS STATE—L 20-27384545-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HNEW MEXICO—L 14-50332424-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AUTAH STATE#22L 28-59268585-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HAIR FORCE—L 35-4173535-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ASAN JOSÉ STATE—L 37-50361212+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HFRESNO STATE#18L 3-48428888-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 27-24436464-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AHAWAI'I—L 28-35132121-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HNEVADA—W 34-29374141-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET64NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
ARMANI ROGERSQB SERET
★3—00%——
6
MAX GILLIAMQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
KENYON OBLADQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
MARCKELL GRAYSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
CHAD MAGYARRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
TYREE JACKSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
29
EVAN OWENSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
35
XZAVIAR CAMPBELLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
LEXINGTON THOMASRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
CHARLES WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
13
TARIQ HOLLANDSWORTHRB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
DARRAN WILLIAMSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
RASHAD WALKERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
MEKHI STEVENSONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
ANDRE COLLINS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
45
GIOVANNI FAUOLO SR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
KENDAL KEYSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
CODY SCHERFFTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
TYLEEK COLLINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
BRANDON PRESLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
DARREN WOODS JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
JAMAAL NEALTE SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
15
NOAH BEANTE SERET
★3—00%——
39
DANIEL GODFREYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
ELIJAH TROSCLAIRWR SORET
★2—00%——
18
JEREMY CLARKWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
82
JACOB GASSERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
90
BRANDON GAHAGANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENYON OBLADHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
PHILLIP HILLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MOA HEIMULIHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
TYLEEK COLLINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TIMOTHY MOSLEYHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
BRYAN CATCHINGSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CHRIS MANOAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MALAKAI SALUHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
PATRICK BALLARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHAD MAGYARHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TIM HOUGHARIZONADBUNRUNR
CHAUNCEY SCISSUMNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
J'ONDRAY SANDERSNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
JOHNNY STANTONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
TREVOR KANTEMANNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
KURT PALANDECHNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
BRIAN KEYESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
AARON BORGNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DEVONTE BOYDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MIKE HUGHES JR.NOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#99NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8002COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST77% BACK77th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG77% BACK77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR64%64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE