SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UNLV›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|DAN MULLEN|—RECORD10-4|CONF—
UNLV69 FPIMWC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
34%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
27%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 13
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs8.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.1
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE73
PERFORMANCE73
TALENT37
CONTINUITY34
DEFENSE7
PERFORMANCE7
TALENT42
CONTINUITY27
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 23HIDAHO STATE—W 38-31————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1AUG 29ASAM HOUSTON—W 38-211111+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HUCLA—W 30-23822828+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20AMIAMI (OH)—W 41-38374040+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AWYOMING—W 31-17151919+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HAIR FORCE—W 51-4804141+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ABOISE STATE—L 31-56425353+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HNEW MEXICO—L 35-4054747+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8ACOLORADO STATE—W 42-103499+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HUTAH STATE—W 29-26184242+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21HHAWAI'I—W 38-10135050+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ANEVADA—W 42-17141515+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 5ABOISE STATE—L 21-38425353+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23AOHIO—L 10-1793939+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB68TAL77PERF68RET1ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
ANTHONY COLANDREAQB SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA
★3★39799%+17HELD
1
ALEX ORJIQB SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★3★3141%-34HELD
7
CAMERON FRIELQB SERET
★3—101%+14—
4
GAEL OCHOAQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
13
SEBASTIAN CIRCOQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB64TAL27PERF64RET48ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JAI'DEN THOMASRB SERET
UNR—9448%+22—
2
KEYVONE LEERB SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★4★38433%-17FELL
0
JAYLON GLOVERRB SEPORTAL · UTAH
★4★37019%-13FELL
24
DARRIEN JONESRB JURET
★3—60%——
25
ROGERICK RAYRB SERET
UNR—60%——
23
KAMRAN WILLIAMSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
29
MOHAMMAD MAALIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE38TAL53PERF42RET29ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JADEN BRADLEYWR SERET
★3★39425%+25HELD
84
NICK ELKSNISTE SEPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★3★38847%-22HELD
3
DAEJON REYNOLDSWR JUPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★4★38117%+3FELL
5
TROY OMEIREWR SEPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
★4★38016%+6FELL
4
DEANGELO IRVIN JR.WR SERET
UNR—7815%-42—
30
VAR'KEYES GUMMSTE JUPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★3★37124%+38HELD
11
JOJO EARLEWR SEPORTAL · TCU
★4★36910%-5FELL
5
KOY MOOREWR SEPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
★4★3689%-9FELL
85
MATT BYRNESTE SEPORTAL · HOUSTON
UNR★36519%-36EMERGED
8
TAESHAUN LYONSWR JUPORTAL · UTAH
★4★3637%+27FELL
43
JAE BEASLEY IITE JURET
★3—486%——
88
VELLTRAY JEFFERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3384%—HELD
6
KAYDEN MCGEEWR SORET
★3—291%——
5
TAVIAN MCNAIRWR FRTRUE FR
★3—110%——
45
ANDREW SAVAIINAEATE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%-46HELD
82
RASHAWN JACKSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
CASSIDEE MILESWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
TRAIVON DYSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
DAVID TITONE-PEREZWR SORET
UNR—00%——
19
DANNY BODENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL48TAL21PERF48RET37n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL39TAL46PERF39RET37n=11 · 7 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸LB35TAL35PERF35RET45n=7 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB47TAL46PERF47RET9n=10 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAMRAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TAVIAN MCNAIRHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LOGAN CHRISTENSENHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CASSIDEE MILESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JORDAN COVINGTONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JOSHUA TUCHEKHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ALEXANDER GREENHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
YASIR MUHAMMADHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN17 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIAS RUDOLPHMIAMIEDGE★4★3
DENVER HARRISUTSACB★4★3
JUSTIN FLOWEARIZONALB★5★3
ANTHONY COLANDREAVIRGINIAQB★3★3
ALEX ORJIMICHIGANQB★3★3
VAR'KEYES GUMMSARKANSASTE★3★3
KOY MOOREWESTERN KENTUCKYWR★4★3
TUNMISE ADELEYETEXAS STATEDL★4★3
JAYLON GLOVERUTAHRB★4★3
TAESHAUN LYONSUTAHWR★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT58 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN ST. JOHNPURDUEOL★3★3
JETT ELADRUTGERSDB★3★3
TONY GRIMESPURDUEDB★5★3
FISHER CAMACVIRGINIADE★2★3
TATUO MARTINSONSAN DIEGO STATEDLUNRUNR
MANI POWELLPURDUELB★3★3
CHRISTIAN MOOREPURDUETE★3★3
JACOB DE JESUSCALIFORNIAWRUNR★3
CHARLES CORREAPURDUELB★3★3
CASEY CAINLIBERTYWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES71%12 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS84%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8496COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
4043 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST20% BACK20th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG20% BACK20th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR37%37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST9%9th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE