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HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
PAC-12|BLAKE ANDERSON|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
UTAH STATE97 FPIPAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
25FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
52%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
58%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-14IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1000 BC / 13
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE51
PERFORMANCE51
TALENT36
CONTINUITY52
DEFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT50
CONTINUITY58
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AIOWA#24L 14-24716666-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HIDAHO STATE—W 78-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15AAIR FORCE—L 21-3916767-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HJAMES MADISON—L 38-4558686-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AUCONN—W 34-33331010+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HCOLORADO STATE—W 44-24222727-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HFRESNO STATE—L 32-37445555-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ASAN JOSÉ STATE—L 21-42384242-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 32-24262222-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HNEVADA—W 41-242811+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HBOISE STATE—L 10-45486767-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ANEW MEXICO—W 44-411577+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23HGEORGIA STATE—L 22-45373434-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB19TAL46PERF19RET62ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
COOPER LEGASQB SERET
★3★37448%+10HELD
2
MCCAE HILLSTEADQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★37138%-12HELD
16
LEVI WILLIAMSQB JURET
★3—5615%+2—
17
ZEKE PAYNEQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
EZRA HARRISQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB41TAL75PERF41RET25ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DAVON BOOTHRB SENO SNAPS
★3★38639%+36HELD
1
RAHSUL FAISONRB SENO SNAPS
★2★48436%+31ROSE
2
ROBERT BRIGGSRB SERET
★3—7425%-2—
22
SIONE FINAURB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
JAYDON BAILEYRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
24
REGGIE FOSTERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
CORBIN COTTLERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE35TAL38PERF49RET53ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 37 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
TERRELL VAUGHNWR SERET
UNR—10032%+11—
1
JALEN ROYALSWR SERET
UNR—9930%+28—
87
BROC LANETE SERET
★3—9476%-20—
6
MICAH DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★38619%+35EMERGED
9
COLBY BOWMANWR SEPORTAL · STANFORD
★4★47312%-2HELD
83
JOSH STERZERTE SERET
★2—5717%-18—
5
OTTO TIATE SERET
★3★3514%-26HELD
23
KYRESE WHITEWR SERET
UNR—382%——
86
WILL MONNEYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3365%—HELD
7
KAHANU DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—301%——
19
CHASE TUATAGALOATE JURET
★3—262%——
9
KYLE VAN LEEUWENWR SERET
★2—241%-19—
18
COOPER JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
PARKER BUCHANANTE SORET
★3—00%——
13
GRANT PAGEWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★300%—HELD
7
AUSTIN OKERWAWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
JACKSON OLSENWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
RYDER MACGILLIVRAYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
QUENTIN RILEYWR SORET
★2—00%——
13
ZAKKARII BLACKWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
7
ARCELLES JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
COLE CHRISTENSENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL42TAL24PERF42RET55n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL39TAL49PERF39RET55n=12 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
▸LB35TAL60PERF35RET49n=4 · 10 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DB57TAL46PERF57RET50n=10 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TALIAFI TAALAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CHASE DAVISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JR SIAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MCCAE HILLSTEADHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JAYDON BAILEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KADIYON SWEATHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JACKSON OLSENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WILL MONNEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ZAKKARII BLACKHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
HYRUM DEWSNUPHS RECRUITIOL★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GRANT PAGECOLORADOWR★3★3
COLBY BOWMANSTANFORDWR★4★4
GAVIN BARTHIELWASHINGTON STATELB★3★3
RALPH FRIASARIZONA STATEOTUNR★3
SIMEON HARRISCOLORADOCB★3★3
LOGAN PILIBYUS★3★3
MALONE MATAELEUTAHCB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT33 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AJ VONGPHACHANHBYULB★3★3
DANIEL GRZESIAKCINCINNATILBUNR★3
KALEO NEVESNEVADALB★3UNR
WEYLIN LAPUAHOBYUG★3★3
BYRON VAUGHNSBAYLORLB★3★3
PATRICK JOYNER JR.KANSASDEUNRUNR
TAVIAN COLEMANTEXAS STATEDTUNR★3
SIONE MOABYULB★4UNR
NYNY DAVISUL MONROEWR★3★2
PHIL PAEAOKLAHOMADL★3UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES62%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS60%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#100NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8271COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
721 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR55%55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR62%62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST50%50th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE