SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|DAVE CLAWSON|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
WAKE FOREST#15 AP 22 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
55FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#660 BC / 20
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs8.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.9
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HOLD DOMINION—W 42-10252424+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HNORFOLK STATE—W 41-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HFLORIDA STATE—W 35-14866060+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AVIRGINIA—W 37-17625858+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HLOUISVILLE—W 37-34586060+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ASYRACUSE—W 40-37504040+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AARMY—W 70-5655252+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HDUKE—W 45-7571313+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANORTH CAROLINA—L 55-58885555+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HNC STATE#20W 45-42769090-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ACLEMSON#14L 27-48989595-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 41-10644343+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4HPITTSBURGH#13L 21-45749494-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
SANTINO MARUCCIQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
MITCH GRIFFISQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
17
LEO KELLYQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
10
SAM HARTMANQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
15
MICHAEL KERNQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
BILLY EDWARDS JR.QB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JUSTICE ELLISONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
CHRISTIAN BEAL-SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
QUINTON COOLEYRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
AHMANI MARSHALLRB SERET
★3—00%——
28
CHRISTIAN TURNERRB SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★3★300%—HELD
41
WILL TOWNSRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
JACK PORTERRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
21
ZACH IGWEBERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
JAHMAL BANKSWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
2
TAYLOR MORINWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
KE'SHAWN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
JAQUARII ROBERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
85
BLAKE WHITEHEARTTE JURET
★3—00%——
9
A.T. PERRYWR JURET
★3—00%——
23
BRANDON CHAPMANTE SERET
★3—00%——
12
DEZ WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
DONALD STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
20
CAMERON HITETE SERET
★3—00%——
14
SAGE SURRATTWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
ALEC ROWANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
TEDDY CENTOFANTIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
MICHAEL FROGGETE JURET
★3—00%——
3
DONAVON GREENEWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
88
ANDY ELKINS JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
35
JD KAVELWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
32
JARRETT BROWNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
TREY BOLLTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
84
JACKSON HENSLEYWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
29
CHRISTIAN GREENEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
GAVIN ELLISTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
GRAHAM MURPHEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
11
HORATIO FIELDSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
81
NICK RAGANOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SANTINO MARUCCIHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JAYDON COLLINSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
WILL TOWNSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DYLAN HAZENHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MATT GULBINHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
QUINCY BRYANTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BERNARD GOODENHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ERIK RUSSELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRANDON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
EVAN SLOCUMHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CASEY WASHINGTONILLINOISWR★3★3
LUIJI VILAINMICHIGANEDGE★4★3
CHRISTIAN TURNERMICHIGANRB★3★3
KEVIN POINTERUL MONROEDL★3★3
KJ TRUJILLOCOLORADOCB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT11 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY RUCKEROKLAHOMA STATES★3★3
SHAMAR MCCOLLUMGEORGIA STATELB★3★3
JA'CQUEZ WILLIAMSUL MONROELB★3UNR
KENNETH WALKER IIIMICHIGAN STATERB★3UNR
CARLOS BASHAM JR.NFL DRAFT R2DL★3—
JACK CRANEELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
KEEGAN GOODELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
NOLAN GROULXNOT LISTEDWR★4—
WILL DRAWDYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
ADAM WINTERNOT LISTEDDL★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#66NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8396COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
611 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE