SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
ACC|DAVE CLAWSON|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
WAKE FOREST88 FPIACC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
49FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
78%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#520 BC / 22
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.4-7.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE34
PERFORMANCE34
TALENT68
CONTINUITY74
DEFENSE25
PERFORMANCE25
TALENT57
CONTINUITY78
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HNORTH CAROLINA A&T—W 45-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HVIRGINIA—L 30-31563232-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HOLE MISS#11L 6-40869999-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HLOUISIANA—L 38-41316161-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ANC STATE—W 34-30725959-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HCLEMSON#14L 14-49978484-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUCONN—W 23-20275050-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ASTANFORD—W 27-24702424+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HCALIFORNIA—L 36-46665959-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ANORTH CAROLINA—L 24-31856464-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMIAMI#18L 14-42919393-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HDUKE—L 17-23506868-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB51TAL63PERF51RET10ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
HANK BACHMEIERQB SEPORTAL · LOUISIANA TECH
★4★39390%+11FELL
15
MICHAEL KERNQB SERET
★3—5010%0—
12
CHARLIE GILLIAMQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
10
JEREMY HECKLINSKIQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
TYLER MIZZELLQB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
NICK RUBINOQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL68PERF65RET97ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DEMOND CLAIBORNERB SERET
★4—9671%+14—
30
TATE CARNEYRB JURET
★3★37326%+27HELD
4
TY CLARK IIIRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—303%-36—
21
ZACH IGWEBERB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
DREW PICKETTRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
28
DAVID EGBERB SORET
★3—00%——
43
MASON ANDRADERB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
KENNEDY FAUNTLEROYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
RYAN HENLEYRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE40TAL63PERF47RET81ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
HORATIO FIELDSWR SERET
★3★49425%-16ROSE
2
TAYLOR MORINWR SERET
★3—9425%+16—
20
CAMERON HITETE SERET
★3—8747%+18—
47
HARRY LODGETE SERET
★3★38141%-29HELD
1
DEUCE ALEXANDERWR JURET
★3★48117%+6ROSE
5
MICAH MAYS JR.WR SERET
★4★37915%-12FELL
3
DONAVON GREENEWR SERET
★4★37212%+20FELL
1
WALKER MERRILLWR SERET
★4★3606%-6FELL
17
MICHAEL FROGGETE JURET
★3—5412%-47—
19
JAYDN GIRARDWR JURET
★3★3201%—HELD
11
JEREMIAH MELVINWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3180%—HELD
86
DOMINIC DELUCATE FRTRUE FR
★3—70%——
6
BEN GRICEWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
EJ REIDWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
29
CHRISTIAN GREENEWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
NICK RAGANOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
RYAN DUPONTTE JURET
UNR—00%——
85
LUCA PUCCINELLITE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
IAN VER STEEGWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
46
KEVIN CHECKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
48
WESLEY STROEBELWR JURET
UNR—00%——
49
LANDEN BAKERTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
35
JAMES HILLHOUSEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
37
OWEN PISAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
27
JASON WOODSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL66TAL70PERF66RET83n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL56TAL53PERF56RET97n=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB40TAL56PERF40RET65n=5 · 11 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB57TAL63PERF57RET67n=8 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEREMIAH MELVINHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CLINTON RICHARDHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ANDREW HINES IIIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JEREMY HECKLINSKIHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
CAMDEN HARDYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BEN GRICEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WHITTMAN WHALEYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DARIUS JONESHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KENDAL HOWARDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JOSH HARRISONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAPONE BLUEKENT STATECB★2★3
HANK BACHMEIERLOUISIANA TECHQB★4★3
BRANSON COMBSSOUTHERN ILLINOISLBUNR★3
MATEEN IBIROGBAGEORGETOWNEDGEUNR★3
KEAGEN TROSTINDIANA STATEOTUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DASHAWN JONESALABAMADB★3★3
JAHMAL BANKSNEBRASKAWR★3★4
WESLEY GRIMESNC STATEWR★4★3
KE'SHAWN WILLIAMSINDIANAWR★3★3
AJ WILLIAMSCOASTAL CAROLINAS★3★3
JUSTICE ELLISONINDIANARB★3★3
JAYLEN HUDSONMASSACHUSETTSDL★3★3
SANTINO MARUCCINEW MEXICO STATEQB★3★3
BRENDON HARRISMIDDLE TENNESSEES★4★3
MICHAEL JURGENSNFL DRAFT R7OL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES52%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS66%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#52NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8622COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
515 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST39% BACK39th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG39% BACK39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR83%83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST67%67th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE