SCOUTTEAM
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
ACC|JAKE DICKERT|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
WAKE FOREST61 FPIACC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
47FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
21%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
48%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#630 BC / 24
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE47
PERFORMANCE47
TALENT71
CONTINUITY21
DEFENSE94
PERFORMANCE94
TALENT52
CONTINUITY48
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
51MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HKENNESAW STATE—W 10-943535+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HWESTERN CAROLINA—W 42-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 11HNC STATE—L 24-34686060+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HGEORGIA TECH—L 29-30727575-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AVIRGINIA TECH—W 30-23722323+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AOREGON STATE—W 39-145777+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HSMU—W 13-12828484-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AFLORIDA STATE—L 7-42877070-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AVIRGINIA#16W 16-9557878-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HNORTH CAROLINA—W 28-12783333+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HDELAWARE—W 52-1442020+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ADUKE—L 32-49586868-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 43-29835757+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL41PERF61RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ROBBY ASHFORDQB SEPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★4★38680%-1FELL
5
DESHAWN PURDIEQB JUPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
★3★36320%+32HELD
6
STEELE PIZZELLAQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
13
BILLY JOHNSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
ELIJIAH OEHLKEQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB50TAL75PERF50RET92ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DEMOND CLAIBORNERB SERET
★4—9556%-4—
4
TY CLARK IIIRB JURET
★3—8436%+3—
JAMARIO CLEMENTSRB SEPORTAL · DUQUESNE
UNR★3496%-50EMERGED
29
JAMAR SEARCYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—242%——
30
TATE CARNEYRB JURET
★3★300%+27HELD
41
KALIL TOWNESRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
DREW PICKETTRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
28
DAVID EGBERB SORET
★3—00%——
39
RYAN HENLEYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE60TAL63PERF65RET15ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
ENI FALAYITE SEPORTAL · UTAH TECH
★3★39454%+55HELD
18
STERLING BERKHALTERWR SEPORTAL · CINCINNATI
UNR★48524%+26EMERGED
8
CARLOS HERNANDEZWR SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
★3★38121%+22HELD
5
MICAH MAYS JR.WR SERET
★4★37718%+18FELL
12
KAMREAN JOHNSONTE SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★37525%+23HELD
2
CHRIS BARNESWR SOPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
★3★47516%+34ROSE
9
SAWYER RACANELLIWR SEPORTAL · MONTANA
★3★36712%+35HELD
47
HARRY LODGETE SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★3★3559%-34HELD
85
WILL LOERZELTE SOPORTAL · SOUTH ALABAMA
★3★3537%—HELD
11
JEREMIAH MELVINWR JURET
★3★3514%—HELD
KARATE BRENSONWR SEPORTAL · TENNESSEE STATE
★3★3473%—HELD
86
DOMINIC DELUCATE FRRET
★3—373%——
10
JACK FOLEYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—362%——
48
MATTHEW LUSARDITE SERET
UNR—261%——
46
KEVIN CHECKTE JURET
UNR—121%——
43
MASON ANDRADETE JURET
UNR—00%——
23
ZEEK JACKSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
IAN VER STEEGWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
80
BEN GRICEWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
48
WESLEY STROEBELWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
CHARLIE WINGFIELDTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
88
BRYCE KANIAWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
EJ REIDWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
11
RJ VICKWR SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA UNION
UNR★300%—EMERGED
28
HUGH O'BRIENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
AUSTIN RINELLOWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL71TAL74PERF71RET19n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL74TAL54PERF74RET31n=9 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB56TAL52PERF56RET79n=4 · 10 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸DB59TAL51PERF59RET51n=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS9 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJIAH OEHLKEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
WILL SABAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KADEAR DEMBELEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAISHAUN OFFUTTHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TRISHSTIN GLASSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WILLIAM WIEBUSHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KOREDELL BARTLEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NATHAN PAHANICHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BAILEY BENSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN16 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FA'ALILI FA'AMOEWASHINGTON STATEOT★3★4
ASHAAD WILLIAMSNORTH ALABAMACBUNR★3
CARLOS HERNANDEZWASHINGTON STATEWR★3★3
JA'MARION KENNEDYLOUISIANA TECHIOL★3★3
KARATE BRENSONTENNESSEE STATEWR★3★3
BRANDON SMILEYELONDLUNR★3
REGINALD VICK JR.VIRGINIA UNIONWRUNR★3
DEVIN KYLANYWASHINGTON STATEIOL★3★3
SAWYER RACANELLIMONTANAWR★3★3
NUER GATKUOTHCOLORADO STATEEDGEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATT GULBINMICHIGAN STATEOL★3★3
LUKE PETITBONFLORIDA STATEOL★3★4
KEAGEN TROSTMISSOURIOLUNR★3
NICK SHARPESOUTH CAROLINAOL★3★3
JAMARE GLASKERMARYLANDDB★3★3
HORATIO FIELDSAUBURNWR★3★4
DEUCE ALEXANDEROLE MISSWR★3★4
DONAVON GREENEVIRGINIA TECHWR★4★3
CHRIS MARABLE JR.BOSTON COLLEGEDL★3★3
DEMARCUS RANKINLAMARDBUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES25%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS75%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#63NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8565COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3327 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST36% BACK36th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG36% BACK36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST51%51th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE