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HOME›TEAMS›WASHINGTON STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
PAC-12|JIMMY ROGERS|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
WASHINGTON STATE64 FPIPAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
34%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-36IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#710 BC / 33
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.4
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE46
PERFORMANCE46
TALENT42
CONTINUITY67
DEFENSE70
PERFORMANCE70
TALENT39
CONTINUITY34
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HIDAHO—W 13-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 36-13386969-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13ANORTH TEXAS#24L 10-59318484-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HWASHINGTON—L 24-59749191-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27ACOLORADO STATE—W 20-33499+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AOLE MISS#3L 21-24859696-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AVIRGINIA#16L 20-22557878-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HTOLEDO—W 28-7466565-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AOREGON STATE—L 7-105777+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HLOUISIANA TECH—W 28-3164444+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AJAMES MADISON#19L 20-2488181-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HOREGON STATE—W 32-85777+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 22AUTAH STATE—W 34-21184242+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB68TAL47PERF68RET97ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
ZEVI ECKHAUSQB SERET
UNR★38476%+21EMERGED
2
JAXON POTTERQB JURET
★3★36521%+39HELD
2
JULIAN DUGGERQB SOPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★3293%—HELD
13
AJANI SHEPPARDQB SEPORTAL · RUTGERS
★3★300%—HELD
19
JAKE TIRYAKIOGLUQB FRRET
★2—00%——
16
DALTON ANDERSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
17
OWEN ESHELMANQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB52TAL31PERF52RET17ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
KIRBY VORHEESRB JUPORTAL · SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
UNR★38842%-23EMERGED
1
ANGEL JOHNSONRB SEPORTAL · SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
UNR★37322%-35EMERGED
3
MAXWELL WOODSRB SOPORTAL · SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
★3★36919%+28HELD
20
LEO PULALASIRB JURET
★3★36717%-4HELD
30
DYLAN PAINERB SERET
★2★200%+29HELD
25
TRAVON PANKEYRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
21
CARL WATSON IIIRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL43PERF50RET58ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
JOSHUA MEREDITHWR SERET
★3—9327%+15—
0
TONY FREEMANWR SERET
★3★38622%+15HELD
23
TREY LECKNERTE JURET
★3★38443%+8HELD
83
ADEMOLA FALEYETE SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN STATE
UNR★38240%-41EMERGED
15
JEREMIAH NOGAWR SEPORTAL · OREGON STATE
UNR★38219%-26EMERGED
8
BRANDEN GANASHAMOORTHYWR JURET
★2—659%-60—
4
CARTER PABSTWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3627%+15HELD
12
LEON NEAL JR.WR SERET
UNR★3596%-3EMERGED
86
BEAU BAKERTE SOPORTAL · SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
★4★3549%—FELL
9
LANDON WRIGHTWR SORET
★3★3514%—HELD
10
LEYTON SMITHSONWR SERET
★3—514%-47—
17
MACKENZIE ALLEYNEWR SORET
★3★3432%—HELD
27
HUDSON CEDARLANDTE SERET
★3★3425%—HELD
89
LUKE LEIGHTONTE SORET
★3★3363%—HELD
6
DEVIN ELLISONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3281%—EMERGED
85
KADEN HARKENWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
NOAH WESTBROOKWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
PEYTON READTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
CASH LANDAUTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
JESIAH CORNWELLTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
TRISTIAN DRUMMONDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
33
CAMERON WEIRWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL35TAL41PERF35RET73n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL62TAL38PERF62RET43n=13 · 7 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB46TAL43PERF46RET30n=7 · 10 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB63TAL37PERF63RET15n=7 · 6 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVOR BINDELHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JOVAN CLARKHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
OWEN ESHELMANHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DAVID KUKUHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TYRONE COTTON IIIHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KYLE PETERSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
SULLIVAN SCHLIMGENHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CASH LANDAUHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ISHMAEL GIBBSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LUKE WEBBHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AJ VAIPULUNEW MEXICO STATEIOL★3★3
JULIAN DUGGERPITTSBURGHQB★3★3
CALEB FRANCLSOUTH DAKOTA STATESUNR★3
MATT DURRANCESOUTH DAKOTA STATESUNR★3
BEAU BAKERSOUTH DAKOTA STATETE★4★3
SONE FALEALOIDAHOOT★3★3
JAYLIN CALDWELLGRAND VALLEY STATE UNIVERSITYOTUNR★3
JEREMIAH NOGAOREGON STATEWRUNR★3
TUCKER LARGESOUTH DAKOTA STATESUNR★3
MIKE SANDJOSMUDLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT47 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STEPHEN HALLMISSOURICBUNR★3
KAPENA GUSHIKENOLE MISSSUNR★3
DEVIN KYLANYWAKE FORESTOL★3★3
ETHAN O'CONNORMIAMIDB★3★4
TAARIQ AL-UQDAHWASHINGTONLB★3★3
DAVID GUSTAKENTUCKYDL★3★4
FA'ALILI FA'AMOEWAKE FORESTOL★3★4
ADRIAN WILSONARIZONA STATES★3★3
ANSEL DIN-MBUHTCUDT★3★3
JOHN MATEEROKLAHOMAQB★3★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES81%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS75%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#71NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 33 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8444COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3470 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST24% BACK24th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG24% BACK24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR73%73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST15%15th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE