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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|PAUL CHRYST|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
WISCONSIN13 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#159 BC / 21
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.4
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HPENN STATE—L 10-16898686+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 34-7172323+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HNOTRE DAME#8L 13-41929292+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HMICHIGAN#3L 17-38909898-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AILLINOIS—W 24-0645151+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HARMY—W 20-1455252+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23APURDUE—W 30-13677373+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HIOWA#23W 27-7708080+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ARUTGERS—W 52-3543333+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HNORTHWESTERN—W 35-7691919+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HNEBRASKA—W 35-28827373+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AMINNESOTA—L 13-23698787+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHASE WOLFQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
15
GRAHAM MERTZQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
15
DANNY VANDEN BOOMQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
DANIEL WRIGHTQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET39NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ISAAC GUERENDORB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
29
BRADY SCHIPPERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
JOHN CHENALFB SERET
★3—00%——
0
JALEN BERGERRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
BRAELON ALLENRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
43
GROVER BORTOLOTTIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
JULIUS DAVISRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
CHEZ MELLUSIRB SEPORTAL · CLEMSON
★4★300%—FELL
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
JACK ESCHENBACHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JAYLAN FRANKLINTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
A.J. ABBOTTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
CLAY CUNDIFFTE JURET
★3—00%——
34
JACKSON ACKERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
JAKE FERGUSONTE SERET
★4—00%——
1
MARKUS ALLENWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
JACK DUNNWR SERET
★2—00%——
17
CHIMERE DIKEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
KENDRIC PRYORWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
DANNY DAVIS IIIWR SERET
★4—00%——
1
SKYLER BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
MIKE GREGOIREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
STEPHAN BRACEY JR.WR JURET
★3—00%——
87
HAYDEN RUCCITE SERET
★3—00%——
88
QUAN EASTERLINGTE SERET
★3—00%——
15
DEVIN CHANDLERWR JURET
★3—00%——
49
CAM LARGETE SERET
★3—00%——
48
COLE DAKOVICHTE JURET
★3—00%——
31
JORDAN DIBENEDETTOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
COOPER NELSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
14
ISAAC SMITHWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
JACK PUGHTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
27
HAAKON ANDERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
RILEY NOWAKOWSKITE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOLAN RUCCIHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
JP BENZSCHAWELHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
RILEY MAHLMANHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
T.J. BOLLERSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
HUNTER WOHLERHS RECRUITS★4UNR
BRAELON ALLENHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
MARKUS ALLENHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAKE RATZLAFFHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
DARRYL PETERSON IIIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JACK PUGHHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHEZ MELLUSICLEMSONRB★4★3
ISAAC TOWNSENDOREGONWDE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT9 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NAKIA WATSONWASHINGTON STATERB★3★3
ISAIAHH LOUDERMILKNFL DRAFT R5DE★3—
RACHAD WILDGOOSENFL DRAFT R6CB★3—
GARRETT RANDELIGIBILITY UPDE★4—
ADAM BAYELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
GARRETT GROSHEKELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MASON STOKKEELIGIBILITY UPFB★3—
ADAM KRUMHOLZELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ERIC BURRELLELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
9OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8931COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
28 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE