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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIM LEONHARD|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
WISCONSIN29 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
19%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#442 BC / 20
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE66
PERFORMANCE66
TALENT76
CONTINUITY19
DEFENSE82
PERFORMANCE82
TALENT67
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HILLINOIS STATE—W 38-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HWASHINGTON STATE—L 14-17507272-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 66-771212+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AOHIO STATE#4L 21-52999898-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HILLINOIS—L 10-34608888-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ANORTHWESTERN—W 42-7671616+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AMICHIGAN STATE—L 28-34764949+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HPURDUE—W 35-24646565+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HMARYLAND—W 23-10737676-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AIOWA—L 10-24748080-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ANEBRASKA—W 15-14834646+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HMINNESOTA—L 16-23648888-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AOKLAHOMA STATE—W 24-17727777-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB27TAL89PERF27RET98ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
GRAHAM MERTZQB SERET
★4★48089%-10HELD
2
CHASE WOLFQB SERET
★3★33910%-18HELD
10
MYLES BURKETTQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3112%—HELD
10
DEACON HILLQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
MARSHALL HOWEQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB54TAL72PERF54RET100ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
BRAELON ALLENRB JURET
★4—9449%+18—
23
ISAAC GUERENDORB SERET
★3★37724%+24HELD
1
CHEZ MELLUSIRB SERET
★4★37219%-20FELL
32
JULIUS DAVISRB SERET
★3★3363%+28HELD
29
BRADY SCHIPPERRB SERET
UNR—252%-12—
20
CADE YACAMELLIRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
43
GROVER BORTOLOTTIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
ZACH GLOUDEMANRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE34TAL69PERF36RET64ROTATIONn=7 · 8 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
SKYLER BELLWR SERET
★3★38833%+28HELD
17
CHIMERE DIKEWR SERET
★3★38733%+25HELD
82
JACK ESCHENBACHTE SERET
UNR—8635%-27—
87
HAYDEN RUCCITE SERET
★3—8231%——
9
KEONTEZ LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★37825%+37HELD
85
CLAY CUNDIFFTE JURET
★3—6015%+43—
1
MARKUS ALLENWR SERET
★4★3537%-18FELL
37
RILEY NOWAKOWSKITE SERET
UNR★3487%—EMERGED
48
COLE DAKOVICHTE JURET
★3—466%——
19
JAYLAN FRANKLINTE SERET
★3★3446%—HELD
34
JACKSON ACKERTE SERET
★3—343%——
8
VINNY ANTHONY IIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—302%——
27
HAAKON ANDERSONWR SERET
UNR—70%——
2
CHRIS BROOKS JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
41
JT SEAGREAVESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
MIKE GREGOIREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
STEPHAN BRACEY JR.WR JURET
★3—00%——
49
CAM LARGETE SERET
★3—00%——
31
JORDAN DIBENEDETTOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
JACK PUGHTE SORET
★3—00%——
82
TOMMY MCINTOSHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
30
ALEX MOELLERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
CAM FANEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
COLE TOENNIESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL56TAL79PERF56RET28n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL70TAL71PERF70RET86n=8 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB72TAL83PERF72RET100n=7 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB53TAL55PERF53RET47n=12 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOE BRUNNERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ISAAC HAMMHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
AUSTIN BROWNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CURT NEALHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
AIDAN VAUGHANHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BARRETT NELSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
A'KHOURY LYDEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
VINNY ANTHONY IIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MYLES BURKETTHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TRISTAN MONDAYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
IZAYAH GREEN-MAYNORTHERN ILLINOISDE★3UNR
DONTE BURTONTULSADB★3UNR
A.J. ABBOTTWESTERN MICHIGANWRUNRUNR
JALEN BERGERMICHIGAN STATERB★4★3
MATT HENNINGSENELIGIBILITY UPDE★2—
COLLIN WILDERELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
TYLER MAISELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
BRYSON WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPNT★3—
JOHN CHENALELIGIBILITY UPFB★3—
JACK SANBORNELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#44NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8557COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR28%28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST47%47th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE