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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|CRAIG BOHL|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
WYOMING102 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
8%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#931 BC / 17
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs5.1-6.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT31
CONTINUITY8
DEFENSE24
PERFORMANCE24
TALENT29
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27AILLINOIS—L 6-38608888-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3HTULSA—W 40-37403434-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HNORTHERN COLORADO—W 33-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HAIR FORCE—W 17-1405656-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ABYU—L 24-38234545-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HSAN JOSÉ STATE—L 16-33253737-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ANEW MEXICO—W 27-141211+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HUTAH STATE—W 28-14171717+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AHAWAI'I—W 27-202622+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ACOLORADO STATE—W 14-132755+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HBOISE STATE—L 17-20486161-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AFRESNO STATE#24L 0-30445555-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30HOHIO—L 27-30153535-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB41TAL11PERF41RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANDREW PEASLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★2—7891%-43—
7
JAYDEN CLEMONSQB SERET
★3—379%-52—
▾RB47TAL37PERF47RET83ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TITUS SWENRB JURET
★3★39569%+12HELD
5
DAWAIIAN MCNEELYRB SERET
★3★35713%+22HELD
7
D.Q. JAMESRB SORET
★3—5310%+41—
26
JORDON VAUGHNRB SERET
★3★3426%-24HELD
36
CALEB DRISKILLFB SERET
★2—212%——
22
SAM SCOTTRB SERET
★3—131%——
25
MITCHELL ANDERSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JOEY BRAASCHRB FRRET
★2★200%-54HELD
32
DALTON STROUSSFB FRRET
UNR—00%——
21
JEREMY HOLLINGSWORTHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
35
KIMBALL MADSENFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
LJ RICHARDSONRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
31
MAX JONESRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE38TAL15PERF36RET91ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
TREYTON WELCHTE SERET
★2—9340%+2—
80
PARKER CHRISTENSENTE SORET
★2—8326%+14—
1
JOSHUA HARDEMANWR SERET
★3—8133%-3—
11
WYATT WIELANDWR SERET
UNR—7931%+26—
82
JACKSON MARCOTTETE JURET
★2—7722%-21—
9
ALEX BROWNWR SERET
★3—6315%-54—
88
COLIN O'BRIENTE SERET
UNR—5810%——
83
WILL PELISSIERWR SERET
UNR—5610%-15—
20
RYAN MARQUEZWR SERET
UNR—538%-49—
8
JAYLEN SARGENTWR SERET
★3—292%——
86
NICK MILESTE SERET
★3—271%——
84
JOHN MICHAEL GYLLENBORGTE SERET
★3—171%——
18
TYRESE GRANTWR SORET
★3★370%—HELD
89
EVAN HIREMATHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
CHASE LOCKEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
GUNNER GENTRYWR SERET
★2—00%——
45
HANK GIBBSTE SERET
★2—00%——
3
GAVIN BEERUPWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
47
CADEN BECKERTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
87
ISAAC SCHOENFELDTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
CALEB COOLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
CHARLIE COENENWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
EVAN SVOBODATE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
TREY NELSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL53TAL40PERF53RET1n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL53TAL22PERF53RET98n=7 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB41TAL44PERF41RET70n=4 · 11 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB40TAL25PERF40RET64n=8 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DESHAWN WOODSHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
CALEB MERRITTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CADEN BECKERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TJ URBANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WES KINGHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JOSH DIXONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
REX JOHNSENHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
MYKEL JANISEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LUKE SANDYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CAYDEN HAWKINSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LEVI WILLIAMSUTAH STATEQB★3UNR
KEYON BLANKENBAKERTEXAS TECHDB★2UNR
C.J. COLDONOKLAHOMADBUNRUNR
RAVONTAE HOLTAKRONDLUNR★2
VICTOR JONESAKRONDL★3UNR
XAZAVIAN VALLADAYARIZONA STATERB★3UNR
AZIZI HEARNUCLADB★3UNR
SOLOMON BYRDUSCDE★2UNR
ROME WEBERWESTERN KENTUCKYDB★2UNR
JAYLEN PATENORTHWESTERNDL★3UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#93NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8184COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST64%64th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE