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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TOM ARTH|—RECORD0-12|CONF—
AKRON129 FPIMAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
10FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1140 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
0-12ACTUALvs0.6-11.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-25.8
0 wins against a scoring profile describing 0.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AILLINOIS—L 3-42745454-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HUAB—L 20-31324949-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 24-45283535-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HTROY—L 7-35223535-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AMASSACHUSETTS—L 29-371800+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HKENT STATE—L 3-26111919-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HBUFFALO—L 0-2194646-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 0-49241212-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ABOWLING GREEN—L 6-351222-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 12HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 14-42122222-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 20AMIAMI (OH)—L 17-20182222-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 26HOHIO—L 3-52156363-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KATO NELSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
ROBBIE KELLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
T.J. DESHIELDSQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
ZACH GIBSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
ALEX RAMARTQB SORET
★2—00%——
38
DREW HODGSONQB SORET
UNR—00%——
18
NICK DEMCHUKQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET18NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
DEVANIER FLOYDRB FRRET
★2—00%——
25
PETER HAYES-PATRICKRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
36
MICHIAH BURTONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
TYSON MCDONALDRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
4
DELTRON SANDSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
43
AUSTIN GILLISPIERB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
TAYLOR GRIFFINRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
BOOGIE KNIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DARRYL LONGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
28
JAQUAVIS DIXONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
DUSTIN BURKHARTWR JURET
★2—00%——
2
NATE STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
24
MAVERICK WOLFLEYTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
17
ANDRE WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
30
GAVIN BLUNTWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
TIMOTHY SCIPPIOWR JURET
★2—00%——
81
BRANDON LEEWR SORET
★2—00%——
13
KEVIN WALLSWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
6
NICK JOHNSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MICHAEL MATHISONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
45
BRANDON JUNKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
M.J. MCGRIFFWR SERET
★2—00%——
1
JULIAN HICKSWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
83
DE'VON JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JONAH MORRISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
TREVON RICHARDSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
31
J.J. COLEMANWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
89
SHAWN NAIMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
KENYON SHOLTYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
JALEN KNIGHTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COREY THOMAS JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
PETER HAYES-PATRICKHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
QUEVAN LAWSONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DANIEL LAVELLEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
ADETUTU DARANIJOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ZACH GIBSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KEYSHAWN SWANSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
OWEN MURPHYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TYSON MCDONALDHS RECRUITS★2UNR
KEVIN WALLSHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ULYSEES GILBERT IIINFL DRAFT R6LBUNR—
JAMAL DAVIS IIELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
MYKEL TRAYLOR-BENNETTELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JAMAL BAGGETTELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
BROCK BOXENELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KYRON BROWNELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
UNDREA BULLARDELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
NEWMAN WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
DARIAN DAILEYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
NATHAN BISCHOFELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#114NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7916COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE