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HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|SAM PITTMAN|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
ARKANSAS36 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#287 BC / 27
BC RATIO
32%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE88
PERFORMANCE88
TALENT79
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE42
PERFORMANCE42
TALENT75
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HCINCINNATI—W 31-24658282-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HSOUTH CAROLINA#23W 44-30868080-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HMISSOURI STATE—W 38-279———NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24ATEXAS A&M—L 21-23987272+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HALABAMA#5L 26-491009898-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AMISSISSIPPI STATE#20L 17-40808686-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ABYU—W 52-35234545+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AAUBURN—W 41-27885959+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HLIBERTY—L 19-2164444+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HLSU#16L 10-13959090-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HOLE MISS—W 42-27849090-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AMISSOURI—L 27-29786767+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HKANSAS—W 55-53505454+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB83TAL88PERF83RET91ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KJ JEFFERSONQB SERET
★4★38291%+32FELL
10
CADE FORTINQB SENO SNAPS
★3—399%-46—
18
KADE RENFROQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB74TAL93PERF74RET80ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
RAHEIM SANDERSRB SERET
★4★49758%+17HELD
0
AJ GREEN JR.RB SERET
★4★47320%-21HELD
7
RASHOD DUBINIONRB SENO SNAPS
★4★37119%+2FELL
20
DOMINIQUE JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★3282%+24HELD
23
JAMES JOINTER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3★390%—HELD
21
JAVION HUNTRB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
41
KYLE THOMPSONFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
DENNIS DANIELSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE66TAL89PERF69RET55ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
TREY KNOXTE SERET
★4★49769%-19HELD
3
MATT LANDERSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★39030%+32HELD
9
JADON HASELWOODWR JUNO SNAPS
★5—8526%+19—
11
KETRON JACKSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—7620%+37—
84
WARREN THOMPSONWR SERET
★4★46411%+13HELD
89
NATHAN BAXTE SERET
UNR—6219%——
14
BRYCE STEPHENSWR JURET
★3★3557%-9HELD
82
HUDSON HENRYTE JURET
★4—5010%——
11
JAEDON WILSONWR SERET
★3★3505%—HELD
1
ISAIAH SATEGNA IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—251%——
7
TY WASHINGTONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3242%—HELD
85
HARPER COLEWR SORET
UNR—201%——
4
MALIK HORNSBYWR JURET
★4★3181%—FELL
12
SAM MBAKEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
36
ERIN OUTLEYTE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
80
COLLIN SUTHERLANDTE SORET
★3—00%——
15
LANDON ROGERSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
39
NATHAN JOHNSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
42
ZACH LEETE SORET
UNR—00%——
15
CHRIS HARRISWR JURET
★2—00%——
80
RYKAR ACEBOWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
HUNTER TALLEYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
KALIL GIRAULTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
KAM BIBBYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL44TAL69PERF44RET0n=4 · 3 METRICS · 12 OBS
▸DL57TAL69PERF57RET59n=8 · 7 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB73TAL88PERF73RET45n=4 · 11 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB53TAL70PERF53RET62n=10 · 8 METRICS · 61 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH SATEGNAHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
E'MARION HARRISHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ANDREW CHAMBLEEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
PATRICK KUTASHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
QUINCEY MCADOOHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
RASHOD DUBINIONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
SAM MBAKEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
NICO DAVILLIERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANTHONY BROWNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MANI POWELLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOE FOUCHALSUS★4UNR
ANDREW PARKER JR.APP STATELBUNRUNR
TRELON SMITHUTSARB★3UNR
GREG BROOKS JR.LSUS★4UNR
MATAIO SOLIHAWAI'IDL★4UNR
NICK TURNERTOLEDOCB★3UNR
DEON EDWARDSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
T.J. HAMMONDSELIGIBILITY UPRB★4—
GRANT MORGANELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BLAKE KERNELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#28NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8728COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST62%62th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE