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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|MIKE NEU|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
BALL STATE127 FPIMAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
14FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#900 BC / 29
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs1.5-10.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-22.8
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AILLINOIS—L 21-24522424-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HUAB—W 51-315———NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HTENNESSEE TECH—W 28-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 21-33203131-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 3-55383939-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AAKRON—L 3-312277-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 9-56332323-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HTOLEDO—L 17-58296565-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 14-56112929-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 17-63304141-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HBUFFALO—L 24-40121717-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21HMIAMI (OH)—L 7-28374040-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
JACK MILASQB —RET
UNR—00%——
17
ZACK BLAIRQB —RET
UNR—00%——
9
DREW PLITTQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
RILEY NEALQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
HANK HUGHESQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET72NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
MARKICE HURT JR.RB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
34
JAMES GILBERTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
CODY RUDYFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
CALEB HUNTLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
WALTER FLETCHERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
DAVID KEELINGRB —RET
UNR—00%——
22
MARKICE HURT JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
DARIAN GREENRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
KEVIN DOMINIQUERB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JORDAN HOGUEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
HASSAN LITTLESWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
KYLE SCHRANKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
RILEY MILLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JUSTIN HALLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
BRENNAN GILLISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
KEIDREN DAVISTE SORET
★2—00%——
1
ANTWAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
COREY LACANARIAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DEVIN REECEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MALIK DUNNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
KHALIL NEWTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
NOLAN GIVANTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
LUKE ENDSLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
DYLAN KOCHTE SERET
★2—00%——
80
CHRIS CROTHERSTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
TY KIRTZWR —RET
★2—00%——
41
BRYSON HAFTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JUSTIN GIBBSWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN GIBBSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JORDAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
CURTIS BLACKWELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CALEB HUNTLEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KEVIN DOMINIQUEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KHALIL NEWTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEMETRIUS MURRAYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JUSTIN HALLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SHAHID REECEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DORION POLLARDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEVIN THURMONELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
DAMON HAZELTONELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
MARTEZ HESTERNOT LISTEDSUNR—
DEDRICK CROMARTIENOT LISTEDSUNR—
SPENCER GILBERTNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
SAM BRUNNERNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
TYREE HOLDERNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
KEVONN MABONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
AARON TAYLORNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOSHUA POSLEYNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#90NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 29 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7921COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST77% BACK77th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG77% BACK77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE