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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOISE STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
PAC-12|SPENCER DANIELSON|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
BOISE STATE#8 AP 25 FPIPAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
88%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#640 BC / 20
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs10.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.2
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE83
PERFORMANCE83
TALENT47
CONTINUITY66
DEFENSE44
PERFORMANCE44
TALENT60
CONTINUITY88
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 56-45244444+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AOREGON#3L 34-37969999-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HPORTLAND STATE—W 56-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28HWASHINGTON STATE—W 45-24464949+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HUTAH STATE—W 62-30292121+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AHAWAI'I—W 28-7222020+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AUNLV#23W 29-24397474+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 56-24451111+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HNEVADA—W 28-21231313+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 42-21163232+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AWYOMING—W 17-13121414+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HOREGON STATE—W 34-18472828+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6HUNLV#23W 21-7397474+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31HPENN STATE#5L 14-31939797-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB80TAL37PERF80RET95ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MADDUX MADSENQB SERET
★3—9295%+25—
16
MALACHI NELSONQB JUPORTAL · USC
★5★3304%—FELL
14
MAX CUTFORTHQB JURET
★2—40%——
15
COLT FULTONQB JURET
★3—00%——
16
KALEB ANNETTQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB66TAL55PERF66RET91ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ASHTON JEANTYRB JURET
★3—10080%+29—
33
TYLER CROWEFB SERET
UNR—536%——
0
DYLAN RILEYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—505%+27—
1
JAMBRES DUBARRB JURET
★3—465%+3—
26
SIRE GAINESRB SONO SNAPS
★3—414%+37—
25
KADEN DUDLEYRB JURET
★3★300%-52HELD
37
ETHAN MIKITARB SORET
★3—00%——
40
RYKER CLINGERRB FRRET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE63TAL53PERF58RET68ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
MATT LAUTERTE SERET
★3—9955%+31—
9
CAMERON CAMPERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—9328%+29—
3
LATRELL CAPLESWR SERET
★3—8824%+5—
88
MATT WAGNERTE JURET
★3—8528%-13—
17
PRINCE STRACHANWR JURET
★3★38320%+27HELD
81
AUSTIN BOLTWR SERET
★3★36710%+35HELD
13
CHASE PENRYWR SERET
★3★3638%+20HELD
86
AUSTIN TERRYTE SERET
★3—558%-40—
96
LUKE VOORHEESTE SERET
UNR—558%——
3
CAM BATESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—483%——
6
CHRIS MARSHALLWR SENO SNAPS
★5★3463%-68FELL
82
BEN FORDWR SERET
★3—362%——
87
MITCH BOTHWELLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—151%——
7
KHAI TAYLORWR JURET
★3★3110%—HELD
18
COOPER JONESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
27
KAYDEN CHANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
14
ZAMONDRE MERRIWEATHERWR JURET
★3★370%—HELD
19
TROY WILKEYWR SORET
★2—00%——
47
KADEN ANDERSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
97
CHAMPION JOHNSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
13
JACKSON GRIERWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
48
OLIVER FISHERTE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
46
HUNTER STEACKERWR SORET
★2—00%——
83
TYRONE JACKSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
49
AJ MAESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL56TAL41PERF56RET62n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL75TAL56PERF75RET93n=8 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB84TAL54PERF84RET98n=3 · 11 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DB53TAL67PERF53RET80n=8 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SIRE GAINESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DYLAN RILEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CLAY MARTINEAUHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TREYVON TOLMAIREHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TYRONE JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAMERON BATESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SYNCERE BRACKETTHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TRAVIS ANDERSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KALEB ANNETTHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ROMAN CAYWOODHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALACHI NELSONUSCQB★5★4
JEREMIAH EARBYCALIFORNIACB★3★3
DAVON BANKSWASHINGTONCBUNR★3
CAM CAMPERINDIANAWRUNR★3
TAVION WOODARDBALL STATEEDGE★3★3
MITCHELL BOTHWELLVILLANOVATEUNR★3
CONNOR GILBREATHLSUTEUNR★3
JAKE STEELESAN JOSÉ STATEIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ERIC MCALISTERTCUWR★3★3
TAYLEN GREENARKANSASQB★3★3
JALEN NEALRHODE ISLANDDBUNRUNR
CADE BERESFORDELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
GARRETT CURRANELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
DJ SCHRAMMELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
RILEY SMITHELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
ETHAN CARDEELIGIBILITY UPOTUNR—
BILLY BOWENSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
DEMITRI WASHINGTONELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES39%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS59%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#64NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8399COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
814 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST49% BACK49th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG49% BACK49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR62%62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR95%95th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE