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HOME›TEAMS›BUFFALO›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|MAURICE LINGUIST|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
BUFFALO100 FPIMAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
16FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#810 BC / 12
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE14
PERFORMANCE14
TALENT39
CONTINUITY6
DEFENSE32
PERFORMANCE32
TALENT32
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
27MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AMARYLAND—L 10-31737676-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HHOLY CROSS—L 31-37————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 26-38304848-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 50-31203131-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HMIAMI (OH)—W 24-20202121+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ABOWLING GREEN—W 38-72377+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AMASSACHUSETTS—W 34-71200+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HTOLEDO—W 34-27433838-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AOHIO—L 24-45153535-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 27-31181515+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HKENT STATE—L 27-30191818+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HAKRON—W 23-223233+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 23-21223333-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB24TAL78PERF24RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
COLE SNYDERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★397100%-4HELD
10
MATT MYERSQB SERET
★2★200%-37HELD
7
CASEY CASEQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
BRIAN PLUMMERQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB30TAL18PERF30RET85ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 26 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MIKE WASHINGTON JR.RB SERET
★2★29141%-21HELD
2
RON COOK JR.RB SERET
★2—8836%+13—
5
AL-JAY HENDERSONRB SERET
★3—6615%+2—
25
TAJAY AHMEDRB SERET
UNR—496%+16—
32
JACKSON PARADISRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE26TAL35PERF29RET49ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
QUIAN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★2★29830%+7HELD
1
JUSTIN MARSHALLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9729%+17—
21
ROBBIE MANGASTE SENO SNAPS
★3—9244%-23—
86
TREVOR BORLANDTE SERET
★2★28737%-37HELD
11
MARLYN JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★37414%-24HELD
18
JAMARI GASSETTWR SORET
★3★37012%+20HELD
85
RAY EMBRYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—6819%-32—
COLE HARRITYWR SENO SNAPS
★2—6811%-26—
5
BOOBIE CURRYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—473%-25—
8
JOVANY RUIZ-NAVARROWR SERET
UNR—331%——
10
MARK-ANTHONY SCOTT JR.WR FRTRUE FR
UNR—231%——
19
JAVIEN CUFFWR SERET
★3★2130%—FELL
10
CAM BALLTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★340%—HELD
44
LIAM HAMILTONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
MARK-ANTHONY SCOTT JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
WYATT MOLINICHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
ALI FISHERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
NIK MCMILLANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
KHAMRAN LABORNWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
88
CHANDLER BAKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
TADD BARRWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
ZACH PILARCEKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
AIDAN WALLINEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JEREMY YANCEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JAMES SHATASTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
4
MIKE DEPILLOTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL40TAL35PERF40RET19n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL39TAL34PERF39RET53n=7 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB47TAL14PERF47RET92n=4 · 10 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DB49TAL36PERF49RET36n=11 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEVIN GRANTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JACKSON PARADISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JA'MORI COARDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
PERSHAUN FANNHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
NIK MCMILLANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAM BALLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KAM OLDSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
RED MURDOCKHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DEVIN MORGANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CORNELL EVANSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARK DAVISSOUTHERN ILLINOISCB★2UNR
DYLAN MCDUFFIEGEORGIA TECHRB★3★3
TIM TERRYAKRONLB★3UNR
AAPRI WASHINGTONEAST CAROLINACB★3UNR
KYLE VANTREASEGEORGIA SOUTHERNQB★3UNR
TYLER STEPHENSMISSOURITE★3UNR
E.J. BROWNELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
DOMINIC JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KEITH WOETZELELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KADOFI WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#81NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8231COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST35% BACK35th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG35% BACK35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST36%36th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE