SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CHARLOTTE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|TIM ALBIN|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
CHARLOTTE134 FPIAAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
35%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
35%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1440 BC / 6
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.2-10.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-22.0
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT37
CONTINUITY35
DEFENSE23
PERFORMANCE23
TALENT42
CONTINUITY35
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HAPP STATE—L 11-34431919-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HNORTH CAROLINA—L 3-20783333-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HMONMOUTH—W 42-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 18HRICE—L 17-28231212-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 3ASOUTH FLORIDA—L 26-54567979-78BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AARMY—L 7-2414646-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HTEMPLE—L 14-49183636-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 24HNORTH TEXAS#24L 20-54318484-83BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AEAST CAROLINA—L 22-48447373-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HUTSA—L 7-28535555-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AGEORGIA#6L 3-351009696-95BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ATULANE#18L 0-27516767-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB22TAL44PERF22RET0ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
GRAYSON LOFTISQB JUPORTAL · DUKE
★3★37862%-38HELD
15
CONNER HARRELLQB SEPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★36624%+22HELD
1
ZACH WILCKEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—5814%-20—
16
LUKE MCNULTYQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB26TAL37PERF26RET46ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
ROD GAINEY JR.RB SORET
★3★37629%-50HELD
25
CAMEREN SMITHRB SEPORTAL · WESTERN ILLINOIS
UNR★37528%-35EMERGED
24
JARIEL COBBRB SOPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★37123%-50HELD
23
CJ STOKESRB JURET
★3★36317%-32HELD
41
JAKE DAVIDSRB FRRET
UNR—333%-20—
21
HENRY RUTLEDGERB SERET
UNR—60%+36—
37
DUKE GUENTHERRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE30TAL42PERF38RET46ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JAVEN NICHOLASWR SEPORTAL · LSU
UNR★39531%+22EMERGED
7
E. JAI MASONWR SEPORTAL · SAMFORD
★3★38522%+15HELD
17
GUS MCGEETE SERET
★3★38051%-36HELD
8
SEAN BROWNWR SERET
UNR—7918%+22—
4
MILES BURRISWR JURET
★3★37415%-32HELD
87
JAKE YOUNGTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—6629%-43—
89
DERRICK ELEYWR SORET
UNR—544%+18—
0
JOEY BEARNS IIITE SERET
★3★35211%-2HELD
10
TA'IR BROOKSWR SEPORTAL · UTEP
UNR★3402%—EMERGED
4
JUSTIN OLSONWR SERET
★3★3402%+9HELD
2
JAYLEN HAMPTONWR SOPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
★3★3392%—HELD
86
CONNOR ADAIRTE FRRET
UNR—385%——
81
BRADY RHOADSTE SORET
UNR—324%——
15
JAYDEN MCGOWANWR SEPORTAL · BOSTON COLLEGE
★3★3271%-3HELD
14
ADAM HOPKINS IVWR JURET
★4—271%——
11
KD HUNTER-GIBSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—251%——
85
JASON JEFFARESTE JURET
UNR—00%——
82
EVAN AUSTINWR FRRET
★3—00%——
80
JEREMIAH HOFFMANWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
GRANT LASKEYTE SORET
★3—00%——
84
CHRIS RIVENSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL24TAL32PERF24RET33n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL22TAL41PERF22RET15n=13 · 7 METRICS · 67 OBS
▸LB30TAL40PERF30RET26n=4 · 10 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB47TAL45PERF47RET45n=12 · 8 METRICS · 69 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS1 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLEN DOSSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN24 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMARRION SOLOMONFLORIDA INTERNATIONALDLUNR★3
SHAY TAYLOROHIOLB★2★3
ROD GREENPURDUEIOLUNR★3
JESSE RAMILMISSISSIPPI STATEOTUNR★3
GAVIN WILLISBUCKNELLLBUNR★3
DONALD CHANEY JR.LOUISVILLERBUNR★3
GRAYSON LOFTISDUKEQB★3★3
CONNER HARRELLNORTH CAROLINAQB★3★3
KRISTOS FERNANDEZLIU POSTOTUNR★3
CALEB IRVINGPURDUEDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT51 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AL-MA'HI ALIWESTERN KENTUCKYDB★3★3
DONTAE BALFOURTEXAS TECHDB★3★3
KENDALL STANLEYPITTSBURGHOL★3★3
JORDAN SPASOJEVIC-MOKOCALIFORNIAOLUNR★3
ELIJAH CULPJAMES MADISONCBUNR★3
CAM BURDENMEMPHISLB★3★3
MORDECAI MCDANIELOKLAHOMA STATES★4★3
COLIN WEBERRUTGERSTE★3★3
DESHAWN PURDIEWAKE FORESTQB★3★3
O'MEGA BLAKEARKANSASWR★3★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES93%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS68%12 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#144NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 6 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8330COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3444 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST10% BACK10th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG10% BACK10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR33%33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST45%45th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE