SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COASTAL CAROLINA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|JOE MOGLIA|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
COASTAL CAROLINA116 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
9FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1140 BC / 33
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs4.5-7.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 15-49858585-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HUAB—W 47-24284343-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 12ACAMPBELL—W 58-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22ALOUISIANA—W 30-28262828-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ATROY—L 21-45185353-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HUL MONROE—L 20-45121919-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AMASSACHUSETTS—W 24-13281414-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AGEORGIA STATE—W 37-343144+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HAPP STATE—L 7-23207878-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HARKANSAS STATE—L 16-44384545-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 17-41103333-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 28-31301010+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET39NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
KILTON ANDERSONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CHANCE THRASHERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
FRED PAYTONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
BRYCE CARPENTERQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
VIC COLBERTQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
MATT BEALEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET50NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
JACQEZ HAIRSTONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
MARCUS OUTLOWRB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
CJ MARABLERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
ALEX JAMESRB SORET
★2—00%——
CJ MARABLERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
BADEN PINSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
22
ANTHONY MCAFEERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
JAVONTAY ROBINSONRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
96
TYRESE JOHNSON-FISHERRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
BRYSON GODFREYRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
KERED CLASSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
LARRY COLLINS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
T'QELE HOLMESWR JURET
★2—00%——
1
JAI WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
JEREMIAH MILLERWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
SHADELL BELLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
KY'JON TYLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
ANTAWN CHANDLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JOSH ANDERSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
9
MALCOLM WILLIAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JAIVON HEILIGHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
ISAIAH LIKELYTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
GREG LATUSHKOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
MICHAEL MCFARLANETE SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
13
DA'KENDALL JAMESWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
STEVEN PETERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
ROB MORROWWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
GRANT THOMPSONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
86
TRE' HIGHWR —RET
★2—00%——
48
JONATHAN ELDERTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
39
MIKE BOYERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CINCIR EVANSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
STEVEN PETERSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JERROD CLARKHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TYRESE JOHNSON-FISHERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
PATRICK MCSWEENEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAIVON HEILIGHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SHAQUOR NEWKIRKHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
FRED PAYTONHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JAMAR DARBOEHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
TORRION STEVENSONHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'REE TOLBERTELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
AMIR HOWARDELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
ERIC CHURCHNOT LISTEDSUNR—
MARCUS WILLIAMSONNOT LISTEDDE★4—
DONTAY HEARSNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
NICHOLAS CLARKNOT LISTEDSUNR—
TYLER KEANENOT LISTEDQBUNR—
OSHARMAR ABERCROMBIENOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KERRON JOHNSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
SHANE JOHNSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#114NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 33 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7824COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR39%39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE