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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|DEION SANDERS|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
COLORADO#25 AP 19 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
78FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
33%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
48%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#814 BC / 12
BC RATIO
35%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE74
PERFORMANCE74
TALENT78
CONTINUITY33
DEFENSE88
PERFORMANCE88
TALENT69
CONTINUITY48
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HNORTH DAKOTA STATE—W 31-264———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7ANEBRASKA—L 10-28846666+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ACOLORADO STATE—W 28-9303030+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HBAYLOR—W 38-31697272-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AUCF—W 48-21775555+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HKANSAS STATE—L 28-31548787-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AARIZONA—W 34-7603939+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HCINCINNATI—W 34-23574747+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ATEXAS TECH—W 41-27736060+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HUTAH—W 49-247771710BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AKANSAS—L 21-37656262+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 52-0624040+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HBYU#13L 14-36448888-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB56TAL96PERF56RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SHEDEUR SANDERSQB SERET
★4★410099%+37HELD
8
RYAN STAUBQB JURET
★3★3161%-26HELD
5
DESTIN WADEQB SOPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★4★300%-42FELL
7
WALTER TAYLORQB SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
UNR★300%—EMERGED
14
COLTON ALLENQB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
DOMINIQ PONDERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB47TAL59PERF47RET12ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
ISAIAH AUGUSTAVERB JUPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★38034%+12FELL
7
DALLAN HAYDENRB SEPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★4★37933%-35FELL
29
MICAH WELCHRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—7021%-14—
44
CHARLIE OFFERDAHLRB SERET
UNR—5912%-1—
26
BRANDON HOODRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
48
CHRISTIAN SAREMRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
TITUS BAUTISTARB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE46TAL93PERF55RET52ONE OWNERn=6 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LAJOHNTAY WESTERWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UNR★39932%+27EMERGED
14
WILL SHEPPARDWR SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★49931%+12ROSE
12
TRAVIS HUNTERWR JURET
★5★59516%+17HELD
5
JIMMY HORN JR.WR SERET
★3★48217%-1ROSE
1
DRE'LON MILLERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★37212%0FELL
31
SAV'ELL SMALLSTE SERET
★5★37086%—FELL
4
TERRELL TIMMONS JR.WR SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★3★3554%-18HELD
4
OMARION MILLERWR SERET
★4★4513%+29HELD
4
JORDAN ONOVUGHEWR JURET
★3★3271%—HELD
81
SAM HARTTE SEPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★4★3246%—FELL
37
MORGAN PEARSONTE FRRET
★3★3236%—HELD
86
BRADY KOPETZTE SERET
★3★3112%—HELD
35
ANTONIO POSADASTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
13
KALEB MATHISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
CORDALE RUSSELLWR SOPORTAL · TCU
★4★400%—HELD
0
ASAAD WASEEMWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
18
KAM MIKELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
87
CHARLIE WILLIAMSTE SEPORTAL · UNLV
UNR—00%——
47
GAVIN MARSHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
32
TAGERT BARDINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
CARSON WESTBROOKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
RONALD COLEMANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL38TAL68PERF38RET21n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL80TAL71PERF81RET44n=12 · 7 METRICS · 60 OBS
▸LB69TAL84PERF69RET51n=5 · 10 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DB75TAL62PERF75RET50n=7 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS6 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN SEATONHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
DRE'LON MILLERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KAM MIKELLHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
BRANDON DAVIS-SWAINHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
ERIC BRANTLEY JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MICAH WELCHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN19 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAMUEL OKUNLOLAPITTSBURGHDL★3★4
QUENCY WIGGINSLSUDL★4★4
WILL SHEPPARDVANDERBILTWR★3★4
BJ GREENARIZONA STATEDL★3★4
PRESTON HODGELIBERTYSUNR★4
RAYYAN BUELLOHIODL★3★4
TYLER JOHNSONHOUSTONIOL★4★4
DAYON HAYESPITTSBURGHDL★4★3
LAJOHNTAY WESTERFLORIDA ATLANTICWRUNR★3
DJ MCKINNEYOKLAHOMA STATECB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT46 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACK BAILEYNORTHWESTERNOL★2★3
VAN WELLSOREGON STATEC★3★3
SAVION WASHINGTONSYRACUSEOL★3★3
OMARION COOPERFLORIDA STATEDB★4★3
MARVIN HAMARKANSAS STATELB★3UNR
MICHAEL HARRISONSAN DIEGO STATETEUNR★3
DYLAN EDWARDSKANSAS STATERB★4★3
CORMANI MCCLAINFLORIDACB★5★4
CHAZZ WALLACENC STATEDL★3★3
JADEN MILLINER-JONESSMUS★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES65%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS59%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#81NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9025COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
4141 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR21%21th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST50%50th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE