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HOME›TEAMS›EAST CAROLINA›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BLAKE HARRELL|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
EAST CAROLINA48 FPIAAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
44FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#770 BC / 20
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.2
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE50
PERFORMANCE50
TALENT53
CONTINUITY75
DEFENSE74
PERFORMANCE74
TALENT51
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28ANC STATE—L 17-24686060+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HCAMPBELL—W 56-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 38-0421111+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HBYU#11L 13-34508787-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 25HARMY—W 28-614646+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 9ATULANE#18L 19-26516767+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 16HTULSA—W 41-27392424+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1ATEMPLE—W 45-14183636+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HCHARLOTTE—W 48-222211+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HMEMPHIS—W 31-27587272+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AUTSA—L 24-58535555+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 42-3412828+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HPITTSBURGH—W 23-17607474-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB60TAL79PERF60RET92ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
KATIN HOUSERQB SERET
★4★39392%+13FELL
9
CHASTON DITTAQB SONO SNAPS
★3★3456%—HELD
11
MIKE WRIGHT JR.QB SEPORTAL · NORTHWESTERN
★3★3201%-39HELD
2
RAHEIM JETERQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
7
COLE HODGEQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB52TAL70PERF52RET64ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
LONDON MONTGOMERYRB SERET
★4★38938%-2FELL
21
MARLON GUNN JR.RB SERET
★3—7925%-28—
5
PARKER JENKINSRB JUPORTAL · HOUSTON
★4★37421%-41FELL
4
TJ ENGLEMAN JR.RB JURET
★3—6414%+4—
5
DEJUAN LACYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—272%+12—
22
MICHAEL BEATTYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
EDDIE LOVE JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
26
DAMARI GANTTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE72TAL58PERF66RET82ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ANTHONY SMITHWR SERET
★3★39227%+33HELD
3
YANNICK SMITHWR JURET
★3★48723%+23ROSE
10
BROCK SPALDINGWR SERET
★3—8522%+9—
6
DESIRRIO RILESTE SERET
★3★38452%+11HELD
8
JAYVONTAY CONNERTE JURET
★3★38147%+51HELD
19
PAYTON MANGRUMWR SEPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★2★3659%+32ROSE
19
JAQUAIZE PETTAWAYWR SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★4★3586%-20FELL
2
TYLER JOHNSONWR SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★3★3586%-35HELD
81
JYRON WAITERSWR FRRET
★3★3555%-22HELD
3
KELAN ROBINSONWR SERET
★3★3352%-55HELD
14
DILLON LORICKWR JURET
★3—331%——
89
MALIK LEVERETTWR JURET
★3★3201%—HELD
85
STEPHEN COLLIERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—141%——
0
KYLER PEARSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
GAGE REALETE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
TRENTON CLOUDWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
84
CONNOR HODGEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
JOHNNY WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
CAYMAN REYNOLDSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
JASON DICKERSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
TY JOHNSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
MASON SCOTTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
KALEB MORROWTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL61TAL52PERF61RET55n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL68TAL55PERF68RET75n=7 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB53TAL41PERF53RET96n=6 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB61TAL52PERF61RET38n=11 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EDDIE LOVE JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
EVAN POWELLHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DYLON WORTHENHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TAVIUS HORNE JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DERRION HORSLEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JOHNNY WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DURANTE SPEERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ANGELO ROSSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KENDRIC DAVISHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CONNOR HODGEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDRICK DUJOURSAM HOUSTONEDGEUNR★3
JAQUAIZE PETTAWAYOKLAHOMAWR★4★3
TYLER JOHNSONPENN STATEWR★3★3
JONATHAN AKINSMARYLANDCB★3★3
RASHEED REASONOLD DOMINIONCBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH BROWN-MURRAYVIRGINIA TECHCB★3★3
GAVIN GIBSONNORTH CAROLINADB★3★3
ZAKYE BARKERSMULB★3★3
ANDREW WILSON-LAMPTOLEDOCB★3★3
CJ MIMSNORTH CAROLINADT★3★3
DONTAVIUS NASHMICHIGAN STATEDB★4★3
JORDAN HUFFGEORGIA STATES★3★3
CHASE SOWELLIOWA STATEWR★3★4
ERIC FLETCHER JR.OKLAHOMA STATECB★3★3
KERRY KINGFURMANWRUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES60%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS65%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#77NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8488COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2431 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR55%55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST38%38th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE