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HOME›TEAMS›EASTERN MICHIGAN›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|CHRIS CREIGHTON|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
EASTERN MICHIGAN119 FPIMAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
21FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
50%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
50%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#930 BC / 21
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.5-6.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.0
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE6
PERFORMANCE6
TALENT43
CONTINUITY50
DEFENSE22
PERFORMANCE22
TALENT30
CONTINUITY50
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AMASSACHUSETTS—W 28-144144+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AWASHINGTON—L 9-30755757-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 37-3484545-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSAINT FRANCIS—W 36-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28AKENT STATE—W 52-33900+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HMIAMI (OH)—L 14-38204949-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 38-34151111+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AAKRON—L 21-252688+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HTOLEDO—L 28-29374141-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 13AOHIO—L 10-35115353-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 20HBUFFALO—L 20-3793535-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 18-26312222-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB8TAL78PERF8RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
COLE SNYDERQB SEPORTAL · BUFFALO
★3★39597%-20HELD
10
JEREMIAH SALEMQB SERET
UNR—273%——
13
DREW VIOTTOQB SOPORTAL · MINNESOTA
★3★300%—HELD
12
JACE STUCKEYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
JACKSON HOLTQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB17TAL60PERF17RET7ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
DELBERT MIMMS IIIRB SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★3★39556%-19HELD
2
IHSON JACKSON-ANDERSONRB JURET
UNR—6716%——
24
JOEY MATTORDRB SERET
UNR—6313%-11—
28
DEION BROWNRB SORET
★3★3548%-30HELD
28
DONTAE MCMILLANRB SERET
★3★3507%-19HELD
27
JAYVIN NORMANRB FRTRUE FR
★2—141%——
7
OWEN MCGRAWRB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
23
ELIJAH JACKSON-ANDERSONRB JURET
★3★300%-47HELD
22
JT BRONAUGHRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE24TAL34PERF29RET57ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TERRY LOCKETT JR.WR SERET
★3—9932%-10—
2
ORAN SINGLETON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3★39730%-2HELD
1
MARKUS ALLENWR SENO SNAPS
★4★39125%+12FELL
7
MAX REESETE SERET
★3★38748%-31HELD
83
JERE GETZINGERTE SERET
★3—8442%-35—
6
ZYELL GRIFFINWR SEPORTAL · UNLV
★3★3617%+34HELD
82
HANS LILLISTE SEPORTAL · BOSTON COLLEGE
★3★3447%—HELD
5
JB MITCHELL IIIWR SERET
★3—432%-20—
7
JAMARIEN WHEELERWR SERET
UNR—372%——
88
BLAKE DANIELSTE SERET
UNR—323%-21—
25
QUINN FRACASSIWR SERET
UNR—261%——
2
NICK DEVEREAUXWR SERET
UNR—231%——
14
ISAAC SMITHWR SERET
★3—130%——
4
MAKHAIL WOODWR SORET
★3★3110%—HELD
19
ADAM RAMMOUNIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
TYREE LOCKETTWR JURET
★2—00%——
87
GABE HOFFMANNTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
9
PORTER ROOKSWR SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★4★300%-38FELL
84
CADEN VANDERBUSHTE FRTRUE FR
★3★200%—FELL
26
ANTONIO FLOYDWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
DALIN WILKINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
CJ WILSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL44TAL42PERF44RET72n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL47TAL32PERF47RET41n=11 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB37TAL24PERF37RET33n=6 · 11 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB37TAL31PERF37RET55n=10 · 6 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DALIN WILKINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JT BRONAUGHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANDREW STEGERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CALEB TURNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JACE STUCKEYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JORDAN TONEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYLYN MONDSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ANTONIO FLOYDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WENDELL SMITHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
EVERETT SMALLHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COLE SNYDERBUFFALOQB★3★3
BRYCE LLEWELLYNCHARLESTON SOUTHERNSUNR★3
DELBERT MIMMS IIINC STATERB★3★3
JAMES DJONKAMARIZONA STATEEDGEUNR★3
JONATHAN ODOMFLORIDATE★3★3
PORTER ROOKSNC STATEWR★4★3
TYLER WALTONOHIOWRUNR★3
JEFFERSON ADAMIOWA STATEEDGEUNR★3
BLAKE BUSTARDWAYNE STATEOTUNR★3
JT KILLENCOASTAL CAROLINALBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEMPTON SHINEVIRGINIADB★2★3
ZACK CONTISOUTHERN MISSOLUNR★3
TIM GRANT-RANDALLMASSACHUSETTSDLUNR★3
BENNETT WALKERSAN DIEGO STATEDBUNR★3
AUSTIN SMITHAUSTIN PEAYQB★3★2
ALEX MERRITTTEXAS STATEDT★3★3
JAYLON JACKSONIOWA STATERB★3★3
ANDREAS PAASKEARKANSASTE★3★3
JADEN GAINESCHATTANOOGADL★3★3
CAM'RON MCCOYJACKSON STATEQB★2UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES97%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS63%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#93NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8209COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2124 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST11% BACK11th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG11% BACK11th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR72%72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST55%55th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE