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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
FLORIDA38 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
90FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1318 BC / 21
BC RATIO
54%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.2-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE92
PERFORMANCE92
TALENT78
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE61
PERFORMANCE61
TALENT86
CONTINUITY62
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AUTAH—L 11-24777777-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HMCNEESE—W 49-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HTENNESSEE#17W 29-16899090-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HCHARLOTTE—W 22-74333+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AKENTUCKY—L 14-33788484-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HVANDERBILT—W 38-14581717+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ASOUTH CAROLINA—W 41-39856262+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HGEORGIA#4L 20-43999999-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HARKANSAS—L 36-39775959+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ALSU#12L 35-52969292-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AMISSOURI#8L 31-33839393-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HFLORIDA STATE#6L 15-24869494-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL84PERF57RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
GRAHAM MERTZQB SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★4★49190%+21HELD
6
MAX BROWNQB SERET
★3★3439%+35HELD
12
MICAH LEONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—71%——
10
JACK MILLER IIIQB SORET
★4—00%+11—
14
PARKER LEISEQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB74TAL78PERF74RET92ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
MONTRELL JOHNSON JR.RB SERET
★3—9452%+10—
1
TREVOR ETIENNERB JURET
★4★48738%+19HELD
39
TREYAUN WEBBRB SENO SNAPS
★4★4518%+29HELD
28
EDDIE BATTLERB SERET
UNR—191%——
38
CARLSON JOSEPHRB SORET
UNR—91%——
27
CAM CARROLLRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%+7—
24
JA'KOBI JACKSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
25
ANTHONY RUBIORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE71TAL72PERF69RET66ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
RICKY PEARSALLWR SERET
★3—9734%+31—
82
ARLIS BOARDINGHAMTE SERET
★3★38841%+10HELD
89
HAYDEN HANSENTE SERET
★3★38740%+19HELD
3
EUGENE WILSON IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★48323%+15HELD
22
KAHLEIL JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—8121%+4—
5
CALEB DOUGLASWR SERET
★3★3608%+16HELD
87
JONATHAN ODOMTE JURET
★3★35410%+29HELD
3
MARCUS BURKEWR SERET
★4★3536%0FELL
18
DANTE ZANDERSTE SERET
★3—507%-43—
15
ANDY JEANWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3484%—FELL
0
JA'QUAVION FRAZIARSWR SERET
★4—423%-3—
10
TONY LIVINGSTONTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3282%—FELL
1
AIDAN MIZELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4171%—HELD
44
SCOTT ISACKSTE SERET
UNR—141%——
30
TAYLOR SPIERTOWR SERET
UNR—130%——
45
ANDREW SAVAIINAEATE JURET
★3★350%—HELD
80
ZAK SEDAROSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
4
THAI CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMANWR JURET
★3★300%+21HELD
33
DANIEL CROSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
KEON ZIPPERERTE SERET
★4—00%-2—
19
ALEX GONZALEZWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JACKSON WADEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
11
BRIAN GREEN JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JADEN EDGECOMBEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL79PERF52RET58n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL59TAL91PERF59RET57n=11 · 8 METRICS · 61 OBS
▸LB53TAL84PERF53RET62n=6 · 10 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB49TAL84PERF49RET66n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KELBY COLLINSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JA'KEEM JACKSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
AIDAN MIZELLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
EUGENE WILSON IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
RODERICK KEARNEYHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
DIJON JOHNSONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
KAMRAN JAMESHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
WILL NORMANHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JORDAN CASTELLHS RECRUITS★4UNR
SHARIF DENSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RJ MOTENMICHIGANSUNR★4
KIYAUNTA GOODWINKENTUCKYOT★4★4
CALEB BANKSLOUISVILLEDL★3★4
GRAHAM MERTZWISCONSINQB★4★4
MICAH MAZZCCUABAYLORIOL★3★4
CAMRON JACKSONMEMPHISDLUNR★4
DAMIEON GEORGEALABAMAOTUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE'VEZ JOHNSONMISSOURIS★3★3
ANTWAUN POWELL-RYLANDVIRGINIA TECHDL★4UNR
MICHAEL TARQUINUSCOL★4★3
AVERY HELMTCUDB★4★4
XZAVIER HENDERSONCINCINNATIWR★4★4
JALEN LEELSUDL★4★4
DAVID REESECALIFORNIADLUNR★3
LLOYD SUMMERALL IIISOUTH FLORIDADLUNRUNR
DAEJON REYNOLDSPITTSBURGHWR★4★3
NAY'QUAN WRIGHTSOUTH FLORIDARB★4★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES35%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS44%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#13NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
18OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9154COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1225 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST66%66th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE