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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
ACC|MIKE NORVELL|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
FLORIDA STATE85 FPIACC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
63%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1216 BC / 25
BC RATIO
47%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs2.3-9.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.6
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE23
PERFORMANCE23
TALENT78
CONTINUITY63
DEFENSE47
PERFORMANCE47
TALENT80
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 24AGEORGIA TECH—L 21-24675151-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2HBOSTON COLLEGE—L 13-28584848-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HMEMPHIS#24L 12-20487777-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HCALIFORNIA—W 14-9665959-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ASMU#12L 16-42829292-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HCLEMSON#14L 13-29978484-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ADUKE—L 16-23506868-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AMIAMI#18L 14-36919393-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HNORTH CAROLINA—L 11-35856464-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ANOTRE DAME#2L 3-52939595-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HCHARLESTON SOUTHERN—W 41-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 30HFLORIDA—L 11-31928686-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL74PERF61RET31ROTATIONn=3 · 8 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
DJ UIAGALELEIQB SEPORTAL · OREGON STATE
★5★47040%-29FELL
11
BROCK GLENNQB JURET
★3★36731%-52HELD
17
LUKE KROMENHOEKQB SONO SNAPS
★4★36529%-45FELL
7
TREVER JACKSONQB SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
DYLAN MCNAMARAQB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
12
MICHAEL GRANTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB52TAL87PERF52RET71ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
LAWRANCE TOAFILIRB SERET
★4—9259%+13—
4
KAM DAVISRB SONO SNAPS
★4★36216%-59FELL
5
ROYDELL WILLIAMSRB SEPORTAL · ALABAMA
★5★45711%-12FELL
3
SAMUEL SINGLETON JR.RB JURET
★4—467%+8—
26
CAZIAH HOLMESRB SERET
★4★4405%+31HELD
12
JAYLIN LUCASRB SEPORTAL · INDIANA
★3★3222%-1HELD
21
ZAY PARKSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JEREMIAH JOHNSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE57TAL80PERF56RET59ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
KYLE MORLOCKTE SERET
UNR★48340%+6EMERGED
4
MALIK BENSONWR SEPORTAL · ALABAMA
UNR★48222%-21EMERGED
JA'KHI DOUGLASWR SERET
★4—8122%+27—
18
LANDEN THOMASTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★37327%+1FELL
5
HYKEEM WILLIAMSWR SERET
★5★47014%-20FELL
1
KENTRON POITIERWR SERET
★3—6913%+29—
17
JALEN BROWNWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3608%-46FELL
7
LAWAYNE MCCOYWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4597%-56HELD
3
DARION WILLIAMSONWR SERET
★3★3545%+18HELD
83
BRIAN COURTNEYTE SERET
★3★35210%—HELD
10
BJ GIBSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—514%——
85
JACKSON WESTTE SERET
★3★3436%—HELD
17
ELIJAH MOOREWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3382%—FELL
8
MICAHI DANZYWR SONO SNAPS
★4—301%——
22
DEUCE SPANNWR SERET
★3★3181%-20HELD
89
JERRALE POWERSTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
85
WILLY SUAREZWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
CAMDON FRIERWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
82
CARSON PIELOCKWR SORET
UNR—00%——
2
DESTYN HILLWR JURET
★3★400%-36ROSE
83
ZAMARI MCKENLEYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
44
NICK ROEBAS-BASSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
45
LUKE DOUGLASTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
XAVIER JOHNSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
▸OL40TAL75PERF40RET68n=10 · 3 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DL80TAL79PERF80RET66n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB66TAL84PERF66RET78n=6 · 8 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸DB71TAL79PERF71RET85n=11 · 6 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHARLES LESTER IIIHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
LUKE KROMENHOEKHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
CAI BATESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KAM DAVISHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
LANDEN THOMASHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JAMARI HOWARDHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ELIJAH MOOREHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
LAWAYNE MCCOYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JONATHAN DANIELSHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
AMAREE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARVIN JONES JR.GEORGIAEDGE★5★4
JALEN BROWNLSUWRUNR★4
DJ UIAGALELEIOREGON STATEQB★5★4
SHAWN MURPHYALABAMALB★4★4
MALIK BENSONALABAMAWRUNR★4
ROYDELL WILLIAMSALABAMARB★5★4
EARL LITTLE IIALABAMACBUNR★4
SIONE LOLOHEAOREGON STATEDL★3★4
TJ FERGUSONALABAMAIOL★4★4
TOMIWA DUROJAIYEWEST VIRGINIADL★3★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLESS HARRISTCUOLUNR★3
GREEDY VANCE JR.USCCB★3★3
GILBER EDMONDSOUTH CAROLINAEDGE★3★3
MALCOLM RAYRUTGERSDL★3★3
DENNIS BRIGGS JR.ILLINOISDL★4★3
MARKESTON DOUGLASARIZONA STATETE★3★3
RODNEY HILLARKANSASRB★4★3
TATE RODEMAKERSOUTHERN MISSQB★3★3
PRESTON DANIELMIAMI (OH)TEUNR★3
DAVID STICKLERICEOLUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES68%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS67%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9085COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1719 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST26% BACK26th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG26% BACK26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR68%68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR31%31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST85%85th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE