SCOUTTEAM
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HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA SOUTHERN›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|CHAD LUNSFORD|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
GEORGIA SOUTHERN76 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
10FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#900 BC / 22
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HSOUTH CAROLINA STATE—W 37-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8HMASSACHUSETTS—W 34-13281414+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ACLEMSON#1L 7-38979898-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HARKANSAS STATE—W 28-21384545-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 48-13301010+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ATEXAS STATE—W 15-1391212+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 48-31855+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HAPP STATE—W 34-14207878-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AUL MONROE—L 25-44121919+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HTROY—L 21-35185353-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 41-1791111+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AGEORGIA STATE—W 35-143144+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET25NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
JUSTIN TOMLINQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
1
ELLIS RICHARDSONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
LABARON ANTHONYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
KADO BROWNQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JAALON FRAZIERQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
WILL LOVETTQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
IVAN CORBIN JR.QB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET58NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
MATT LAROCHERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
WESLEY FIELDSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
WESLEY KENNEDY IIIRB SERET
★3—00%——
2
LOGAN WRIGHTRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
MONTEO GARRETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
GRANT WALKERRB FRRET
★3—00%——
11
JARED DANIELSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
CHASE WALKERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
ERIC MONTGOMERYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
40
MERRICK HASTON JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
DAVARIUS BARGNAREWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
23
MARK MICHAUDWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
DARION ANDERSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
COLBY RANSOMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
DEXTER CARTER JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
D.J. BUTLERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
9
OBE FORTUNEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
MARCUS ROGERSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
SHAI WERTSWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
48
CAM BROWNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MALIK MURRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
39
EMORY MCKENZIETE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
JUANYEA TARVERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
SCOOBIE FORDWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUIN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BRANDON CROSSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JUSTIN BIRDSONGHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ANDREW CUNNINGHAMHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHRISTIAN FORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAVARIUS BARGNAREHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
PARKER DEVINEHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JALLAH ZEZEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ELIJAH CAMPBELLHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JONTAVIOUS FERGUSONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYAN NORTHRUPELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
RJ MURRAYELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
L.A. RAMSBYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
DEMARCUS GODFREYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
MYLES CAMPBELLNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
CHRIS DELAROSANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DARRIUS SAPPNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
MALIK HENRYNOT LISTEDWR★4—
D'ONDRE GLENNNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JACOREY BELVINNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#90NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8062COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR25%25th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE