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HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA SOUTHERN›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SUN BELT|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
GEORGIA SOUTHERN102 FPISBC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
71%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
55%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#801 BC / 21
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE56
PERFORMANCE56
TALENT38
CONTINUITY71
DEFENSE3
PERFORMANCE3
TALENT35
CONTINUITY55
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AFRESNO STATE—L 14-42355151-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6AUSC#20L 20-59888989-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 41-34203333-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HMAINE—W 45-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 27AJAMES MADISON#19L 10-3588181-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 9HSOUTHERN MISS—L 35-38403131-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HGEORGIA STATE—W 41-244522+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AARKANSAS STATE—L 24-34372626-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 6AAPP STATE—W 25-23431919+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 45-40421111+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HOLD DOMINION—L 10-45126464-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AMARSHALL—W 24-19363737-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29AAPP STATE—W 29-10431919+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB40TAL62PERF40RET92ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JC FRENCH IVQB SERET
★3★39792%+25HELD
14
TURNER HELTONQB SEPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
UNR★3436%+28EMERGED
9
WESTON BRYANQB SONO SNAPS
★4—252%——
2
TYLER BUDGEQB FRRET
★3★200%—FELL
10
CHARLIE JOHNSTONQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
TREY TOWNSENDQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB67TAL53PERF67RET79ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
OJ ARNOLDRB SERET
UNR—9251%+26—
6
DAVID MBADINGARB SERET
UNR—6819%-41—
35
TAEO TODDRB JURET
★3—5911%-46—
5
TERRANCE GIBBSRB SERET
★4—569%-56—
33
BRYCE BAKERRB JURET
★3—507%-58—
16
JAMARIAN SAMUELRB SERET
★3—363%+37—
28
J'SHAWN ANDERSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE52TAL19PERF63RET50ONE OWNERn=5 · 8 METRICS · 35 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CAMDEN BROWNWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★3★39832%+20HELD
5
MARCUS SANDERS JR.WR SERET
UNR—9628%+13—
7
AHMON GREENTE SEPORTAL · GEORGIA STATE
★3★39573%+48HELD
1
DALEN COBBWR SERET
UNR—8721%+21—
15
TAYLOR BRADSHAWWR SERET
UNR—7112%-39—
84
JP MIKHAELTE SERET
★3—6622%——
19
JOSH DALLASWR SERET
★3—453%+27—
26
ANTAVIOUS MURPHYWR JURET
★3—412%——
13
DYLAN GARYWR JUPORTAL · WEST GEORGIA
UNR★3402%—EMERGED
87
RIVER HELMSTE SEPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
★3★3353%+34HELD
11
BRIAN GREEN JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR—251%——
88
CARMELO MAYSWR FRRET
★3★3150%—HELD
27
ETHAN DIRRIMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—121%——
86
HENRY GREGORYTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
ELIJA WALTONTE SORET
★3—00%——
82
JACKSON LONGTE SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★3★300%—HELD
18
KD DORSEYWR SORET
★3★200%—FELL
38
KEVIN DOUGLASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JORDAN WOOLENWR FRRET
★3—00%——
48
AUBREY HEATHTE SORET
UNR—00%——
24
PEYTON PLOTTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
JEREMIAH WAREWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL59TAL38PERF59RET75n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL23TAL46PERF23RET46n=11 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸LB30TAL37PERF31RET28n=5 · 11 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB49TAL27PERF49RET74n=13 · 8 METRICS · 61 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WESTON BRYANHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ETHAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CHARLIE JOHNSTONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
FABO CHANEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AMARI WILSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BRAXTIN MCLESTERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JEREMIAH TICKETHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ELIJAH FFRENCHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CALEB BUTLERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JEREMIAH WAREHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTONIO WHITE JR.RUTGERSS★4★3
RIVER HELMSWESTERN KENTUCKYTE★3★3
KWON MCGINNEYARKANSAS STATEDLUNR★3
MARCUS DOWNSUCFDL★3★3
CAMDEN BROWNAUBURNWR★3★3
BRANDON TYSONELONLBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT33 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUES WATSON-TRENTNEBRASKALB★3★3
MARC STAMPLEY IIHOUSTONDB★3★3
ISAAC WALKERJACKSONVILLE STATELB★3★3
DEONTRE MORRISALABAMA STATESUNR★3
ELHADJ FALLVIRGINIA TECHDLUNR★3
TROY PIKESSOUTH CAROLINADT★3★3
DEXTER WILLIAMS IIKENNESAW STATEQB★3★3
DEANDRE BUCHANNONWEST GEORGIAWR★3★3
DEMARCIOUS ROBINSONNORTH ALABAMALBUNRUNR
BRYSON BROADWAYELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES42%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS53%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#80NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8483COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1618 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR75%75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE