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HOME›TEAMS›ILLINOIS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|BRET BIELEMA|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
ILLINOIS24 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
60FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
10%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#460 BC / 25
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs10.2-1.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.2
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE48
PERFORMANCE48
TALENT52
CONTINUITY10
DEFENSE97
PERFORMANCE97
TALENT55
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HWYOMING—W 38-6112424+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2AINDIANA—L 20-23743131+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HVIRGINIA—W 24-3582828+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HCHATTANOOGA—W 31-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 1AWISCONSIN—W 34-10826868+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HIOWA—W 9-6748080+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HMINNESOTA—W 26-146488880BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ANEBRASKA—W 26-9834646+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HMICHIGAN STATE—L 15-23764949+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HPURDUE—L 24-31646565+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AMICHIGAN#3L 17-19919999-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ANORTHWESTERN—W 41-3671616+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2HMISSISSIPPI STATE#20L 10-19808686+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB41TAL31PERF42RET6ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TOMMY DEVITOQB SENO SNAPS
★3—8894%+14—
9
ARTUR SITKOWSKIQB JURET
★3★3346%-37HELD
10
DONOVAN LEARYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
RYAN JOHNSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JACOB HUBERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
KIRKLAND MICHAUXQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
JAMESON SHEEHANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB60TAL26PERF60RET100ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHASE BROWNRB JURET
★2—9974%+8—
23
REGGIE LOVE IIIRB SERET
★3★36617%-40HELD
2
JOSH MCCRAYRB SERET
★3★3445%-17HELD
22
CHASE HAYDENRB SERET
★4★3414%-31FELL
21
AIDAN LAUGHERYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—90%——
24
NICK FEDANZORB JURET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE59TAL57PERF60RET84ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
TIP REIMANTE JURET
UNR—9347%-12—
1
ISAIAH WILLIAMSWR JURET
★4—9232%+17—
82
LUKE FORDTE SERET
UNR—8029%-6—
7
BRIAN HIGHTOWERWR SERET
★4★37822%+8FELL
13
PAT BRYANTWR SERET
★3—7621%+16—
14
CASEY WASHINGTONWR SERET
★3★37418%-7HELD
42
MICHAEL MARCHESETE SERET
UNR—7022%+24—
80
HANK BEATTYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—453%——
11
JONAH MORRISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3433%+11HELD
13
GRIFFIN MOORETE SERET
★3★3262%—HELD
8
KHMARI THOMPSONWR JURET
★3★3130%—HELD
87
HENRY BOYERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★390%—HELD
87
KODY CASEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
87
OWEN ANDERSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
48
MIKE CERNIGLIA JR.TE SORET
UNR—00%——
36
BEN SCHULTZTE JURET
UNR—00%——
14
SHAWN MILLERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
KEION BATTLEWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
12
EIAN PUGHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
JORDAN ANDERSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
ASHTON HOLLINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
40
LUCAS ALTHAUSTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
20
NAIVYAN CARGILLTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
83
CHASE MILLERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
WESTON ADAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL55TAL66PERF55RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL66TAL68PERF66RET87n=7 · 7 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸LB55TAL54PERF55RET69n=8 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB62TAL44PERF62RET91n=9 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AIDAN LAUGHERYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JARED BADIEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ELIJAH MC-CANTOSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
SHAWN MILLERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
EIAN PUGHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOEY OKLAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
MAGNUS MOLLERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JORDAN ANDERSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HUNTER WHITENACKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MATT FRIESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEUCE SPANNFLORIDA STATEWR★3★3
DERRICK SMITHWESTERN KENTUCKYLB★3UNR
DONNY NAVARRO IIINORTHWESTERNWRUNRUNR
JAKARI NORWOODTEMPLERB★3★3
CARLOS SANDYNEVADAWR★3UNR
DANIEL BARKERMICHIGAN STATETE★3UNR
DALEVON CAMPBELLNEVADAWR★3★3
JORIELL WASHINGTONLOUISIANA TECHDB★3★3
DJ JOHNSONLOUISIANA TECHDL★3UNR
ISAIAH GAYELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#46NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8492COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST91%91th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE