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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›IOWA STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|MATT CAMPBELL|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
IOWA STATE9 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#590 BC / 20
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs9.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HNORTHERN IOWA—W 16-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HIOWA#23L 17-27708080+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AUNLV—W 48-3221212+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ABAYLOR#5L 29-31718989-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HKANSAS—W 59-74855+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AKANSAS STATE—W 33-20528585+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HOKLAHOMA STATE#7W 24-21619191-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AWEST VIRGINIA—L 31-38604545+41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HTEXAS—W 30-7936464+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ATEXAS TECH—L 38-41587070+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AOKLAHOMA#10L 21-28969191-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HTCU—W 48-14753838+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
BROCK PURDYQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
HUNTER DEKKERSQB JURET
★4—00%——
10
BLAKE CLARKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
AIDAN BOUMANQB SERET
★3—00%——
20
HAYES GIBSONQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
18
ASHTON COOKQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET82NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
DEON SILASRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
BREECE HALLRB JURET
★4—00%——
1
ELI SANDERSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
RORY WALLINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
JIREHL BROCKRB SERET
★4—00%——
16
ANSWER GAYERB JURET
UNR—00%——
38
LEVI HUMMELRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
CALE ANTHONYRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
34
BLAZE DOXZONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
35
TYLER MOENRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
DANIEL JACKSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
CHASE ALLENTE SERET
★3—00%——
8
XAVIER HUTCHINSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
CHARLIE KOLARTE SERET
★3—00%——
16
TARIQUE MILTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JOSEPH SCATESWR SERET
★4—00%——
43
JARED RUSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
SEAN SHAW JR.WR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
EZERIAH ANDERSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
EASTON DEANTE SERET
★3—00%——
17
DARREN WILSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
DESHAWN HANIKATE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
JAYLIN NOELWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
PARKER RICKERTWR SERET
★2—00%——
19
BEAU COBERLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
AIDAN BITTERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
86
JACOB HILLMANNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
TRISTAN MICHAUDWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
81
D'SHAYNE JAMESWR FRRET
★3—00%——
82
TYLER MOORETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
26
MICHEAL TWETENWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
27
ISRAEL TAYLORTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
40
WILL ZAHRADNIKTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
41
DREW IUTZWIGTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
49
STEVO KLOTZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELI SANDERSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TYLER MOOREHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TYLER MAROHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MALIK VERDONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HOWARD BROWNHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAYLIN NOELHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JIM BONIFASHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BEAU FREYLERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CARSTON MARSHALLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TRISTAN MICHAUDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAQUAN AMOSVILLANOVAS★2★3
ANDREW MEVISFORDHAMK★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHNNIE LANGARKANSAS STATERB★3★3
LATRELL BANKSTONHOUSTONDLUNR★3
JOSHUA BAILEYCHARLOTTEDL★3★3
ARNOLD AZUNNAHAWAI'IDB★3★3
KENE NWANGWUNFL DRAFT R4RB★3—
JAQUAN BAILEYELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
LAWRENCE WHITEELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
LANDEN AKERSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DYLAN SOEHNERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
EDDIE OGAMBAELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#59NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8528COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
27 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST90% BACK90th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG90% BACK90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE