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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›KANSAS STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|CHRIS KLIEMAN|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
KANSAS STATE35 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
52FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#561 BC / 18
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HSTANFORD—W 24-7831919+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—W 31-23————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HNEVADA—W 38-17294949+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AOKLAHOMA STATE#7L 20-31619191-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HOKLAHOMA#10L 31-37969191-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HIOWA STATE—L 20-33618686-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23ATEXAS TECH—W 25-24587070+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HTCU—W 31-12753838+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AKANSAS—W 35-104855+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HWEST VIRGINIA—W 34-17604545+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HBAYLOR#5L 10-20718989-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ATEXAS—L 17-22936464+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
SKYLAR THOMPSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
13
JAREN LEWISQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
18
WILL HOWARDQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
2
JAKE RUBLEYQB SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET58NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JOE ERVINRB SORET
★3—00%——
29
JAX DINEENFB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
22
DEUCE VAUGHNRB JURET
★3—00%——
39
JORDAN SCHIPPERSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JACARDIA WRIGHTRB SORET
★3—00%——
36
MASON BARTAFB SERET
★3—00%——
20
CLYDE PRICE IIIRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
28
DEVRIN WEATHERSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
28
SHANE PORTERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
31
DJ GIDDENSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
NICK LENNERSTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
KADE WARNERWR SEPORTAL · NEBRASKA
★2★200%—HELD
18
ERIC HOMMELWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
CHABASTIN TAYLORWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
PHILLIP BROOKSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MALIK KNOWLESWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
RJ GARCIA IIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
TY BOWMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
BEN SINNOTTTE JURET
UNR—00%——
4
TYRONE HOWELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
KONNER FOXTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
DANIEL IMATORBHEBHETE SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
12
LANDRY WEBERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
SAMMY WHEELERTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
CAMERON COTTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
26
ELLIOT OLLENBURGERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
16
SETH PORTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
CHRISTIAN MOORETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
83
WILL SWANSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
JAELON TRAVISWR FRRET
★3—00%——
25
GABE HOOVERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
27
JAKE HUGGINSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BRENEN HAWKINSWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
24
XAVIER GORDONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
XAVIER LOYDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
37
ANDREW SONNERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKE RUBLEYHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
DAVONTE PRITCHARDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MARVIN MARTINHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ANDREW LEINGANGHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BRAYDEN WOODHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KREW JACKSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DARELL JONESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
OMAR DANIELSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RJ GARCIA IIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GAVEN HASELHORSTHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANIEL IMATORBHEBHEILLINOISTEUNR★3
RUSS YEASTLOUISVILLES★4★3
TIMMY HORNECHARLOTTEDL★2★3
JULIUS BRENTSIOWASUNR★3
KADE WARNERNEBRASKAWR★2★2
REGGIE STUBBLEFIELDPRAIRIE VIEW A&MSUNR★2
GABE GARBERKANSASATHUNRUNR
ERIC MUNOZUTAH STATELBUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSHUA YOUNGBLOODRUTGERSWR★3UNR
WYKEEN GILLDUQUESNEWRUNRUNR
D.J. RENDERAUSTIN PEAYWR★3★3
TYRONE LEWIS JR.LOUISIANAS★3UNR
LANCE ROBINSONTULANEDB★3★3
KEYON MOZEEMIAMI (OH)RB★3★3
NICK ASTUTEPWRUNRUNR
WYATT HUBERTNFL DRAFT R7DE★3—
WILL JONES IIELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
KIONDRE THOMASELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#56NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8583COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
815 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE