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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SEC|WILL STEIN|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
KENTUCKY51 FPISEC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
22%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
24%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#603 BC / 17
BC RATIO
31%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT89
CONTINUITY22
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT68
CONTINUITY24
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
93MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
82MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-11REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 6PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HYOUNGSTOWN STATE—W 45-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12HALABAMA#12L 17-45989393-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19ATEXAS A&M#10UPCOMING969696-33HARDEST REMAINING TIER
4SEP 26HSOUTH ALABAMA—UPCOMING232020+43STILL TO COME
5OCT 3ASOUTH CAROLINA—UPCOMING908888-25HARDEST REMAINING TIER
6OCT 10HLSU#8UPCOMING959595-32HARDEST REMAINING TIER
7OCT 17AOKLAHOMA#11UPCOMING889191-28HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24HVANDERBILT—UPCOMING707575-12HARDEST REMAINING TIER
10NOV 7ATENNESSEE#18UPCOMING919393-30HARDEST REMAINING TIER
11NOV 14HFLORIDA—UPCOMING939191-28HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21AMISSOURI#23UPCOMING878585-22HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 28HLOUISVILLE#24UPCOMING748484-21HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB49TAL97PERF49RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
KENNY MINCHEYQB SEPORTAL · NOTRE DAME
★4★467100%+32HELD
10
CALLUM WITHERQB SEPORTAL · LAURIER
★3★300%—HELD
15
CARSON CRUVERQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
JACQAI LONGQB JUPORTAL · MARSHALL
★3★300%—HELD
14
BRENNEN WARDQB SORET
★3—00%——
9
MATT PONATOSKIQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
82
KENDALL TAMBLINGQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
WILLIAM DRAKEFORD JR.QB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB49TAL83PERF49RET48ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
JASON PATTERSONRB JURET
★3—7437%-25—
1
CJ BAXTERRB SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★5★37134%-10FELL
28
AHMIR SMITHRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—65%——
2
JOVANTAE BARNESRB SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★4★300%-4FELL
21
TOVANI MIZELLRB JURET
★3—00%——
22
DELVECCHIO ALSTON IIRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
34
ISAIAH JACKSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
29
JORDAN COLBERTRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE68TAL76PERF66RET72ROTATIONn=12 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
HENRY BOYERTE SERET
★3★39036%-19HELD
81
WILLIE RODRIGUEZTE JURET
★3—9036%+36—
8
MIKKEL SKINNERTE SORET
★4—7122%——
7
DJ MILLERWR SORET
★3—6129%+7—
4
NIC ANDERSONWR SEPORTAL · LSU
★4★35625%+26FELL
19
KENNY DARBYWR FRTRUE FR
★4—4719%——
83
PRINCE JEANWR FRTRUE FR
★3—228%——
6
SHANE CARRWR SEPORTAL · SOUTHERN UTAH
UNR★3228%—EMERGED
12
BROCK COFFMANWR SOPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★3★3166%—HELD
5
JA'KAYDEN FERGUSONWR SOPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★3★3166%—HELD
44
JUSTIN KATTUSTE JURET
UNR—103%——
85
ELIJAH BROWNTE SERET
★4★3103%—FELL
80
ASHTON COZARTWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
13
DENAIRIUS GRAYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
37
SPENCER LEADBETTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
LINCOLN WATKINSTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
33
RICO CROWDERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
XAVIER DAISYWR JUPORTAL · UAB
★3★300%-8HELD
84
DAVIS MCCRAYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
39
SAXTON HOWARDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
CASH HARNEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL62TAL86PERF62RET3n=10 · 2 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL66TAL72PERF66RET65n=10 · 7 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB62TAL82PERF62RET62n=9 · 11 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸DB57TAL69PERF57RET43n=8 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENNY DARBYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MATT PONATOSKIHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
ANDRE CLARKE JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
BEN DUNCUMHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LINCOLN WATKINSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ISAIAH MCMILLIANHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JUSTYN HARTLEYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
PRINCE JEANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DENAIRIUS GRAYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAMERON MILLER JR.HS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COLETON PRICEBAYLORIOL★3★4
LANCE HEARDTENNESSEEOT★5★4
TEGRA TSHABOLAOHIO STATEIOL★4★4
KENNY MINCHEYNOTRE DAMEQB★4★4
ELIJAH BARNESTEXASLB★4★4
CJ BAXTERTEXASRB★5★3
NIC ANDERSONLSUWR★4★3
TAVION WALLACEARKANSASLB★4★3
JAMARRION HARKLESSPURDUEDL★3★3
JORDAN CASTELLFLORIDAS★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT46 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUAY'SHEED SCOTTSOUTH CAROLINADB★3★3
CAM DOOLEYFLORIDAS★4★3
CUTTER BOLEYARIZONA STATEQB★4★3
JEROD SMITH IILOUISVILLEDL★4★3
STEVEN SOLES JR.ARKANSASDL★3★3
DJ WALLER JR.LOUISVILLECB★3★3
HAYDEN DAWAHAREKENT STATELBUNR★3
RUSHAUNE VILANEHOLY CROSSLBUNRUNR
JACOB SMITHLOUISVILLELB★4★3
JALEN FARMERNFL DRAFT R4OL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES99%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS70%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#60NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8730COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3127 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST18% BACK18th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG18% BACK18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST43%43th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE