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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
LOUISIANA102 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1050 BC / 17
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-6ACTUALvs6.2-6.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HGRAMBLING—W 49-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15AMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 10-56849595-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 28-3091111+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AALABAMA#2L 14-5699100100-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ATEXAS STATE—W 42-2791212+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 66-38855+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AAPP STATE—L 17-27207878-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HARKANSAS STATE—W 47-43384545-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ATROY—L 16-26185353-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HGEORGIA STATE—W 36-223144+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 48-38301010+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUL MONROE—W 31-28121919+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1AAPP STATE—L 19-30207878-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET42NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LEVI LEWISQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
JAKE ARCENEAUXQB SORET
★2—00%——
7
ANDRE NUNEZQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JAIAVE MAGALEIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
BEAU KALBACHERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
QUENTIN GIBSONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
WESLEY BLAZEKQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET81NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
JORDAN WRIGHTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
3
ASHTON JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
TREY RAGASRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
ELIJAH MITCHELLRB SERET
★2—00%——
4
RAYMOND CALAISRB SERET
★2—00%——
36
LENARD CALLOWAYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
37
CLYEFER BASSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
T.J. WISHAMRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
JAMAL BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
JALEN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
JA'MARCUS BRADLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
JARROD JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
22
EARNEST PATTERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
MATT BARNESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
RYHEEM MALONEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
KEENAN BARNESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CALIF GOSSETTWR JURET
★2—00%——
19
KADON HARRISONWR SORET
★2—00%——
83
CHASE ROGERSTE JURET
★3—00%——
88
JOHNNY LUMPKINTE SERET
★2—00%——
8
DION RAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
CHRIS TURNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
ALEX ALLENTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
LEROY FRANKLINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
HUNTER BERGERONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DA'RON WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
BRIAN SMITH JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
31
VERNON LANGLEYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
PAT HUGHESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
28
DARIUS HAMPTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
COLE FLEMINGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
PEYTON AUCOINTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TIMAJE PORTERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MASRY MAPIEUHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
CHRIS SMITHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MAX YARBROUGHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
PERCY BUTLERHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
ERIC GARRORHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
ASJLIN WASHINGTONHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
LUKE JUNKUNCHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
JORDAN CORDOVAHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
ANDRE RILEYHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SIMEON THOMASNFL DRAFT R6DBUNR—
TRACY WALKERNFL DRAFT R3DBUNR—
MUSTAFA MITCHELLELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TREV MILLERNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
CHRISTIAN CEDERQUISTNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
KEVON PERRYNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
JARVIS JEFFRIESNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
TROY MCCOLLUMNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DEVIN SCOTTNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
D'AQUIN WITHROWNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#105NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7922COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
18TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
1
3
6
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.8 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +7 W
IMPROVED10 OF 18
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR42%42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE