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HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA TECH›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SUN BELT|SKIP HOLTZ|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
LOUISIANA TECH86 FPISBC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
36FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1000 BC / 13
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.1
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNORTHWESTERN STATE—W 52-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HMISSISSIPPI STATE#19L 21-57818686-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 23-22203131-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 16-17826868-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 34-16341717+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUAB—L 22-235———NON-FBS OPPONENT
8OCT 21HSOUTHERN MISS—L 27-34353434-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ARICE—W 42-282522+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HNORTH TEXAS—L 23-24133333-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 23-48446161-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AUTEP—W 42-21700+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HUTSA—W 20-6113838-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET8NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
J'MAR SMITHQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
WESTIN ELLIOTTQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
ELIJAH WALKERQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
JUSTIN STOLBERGQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
NATE COXQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
41
BOBBY HOLLYFB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
ISRAEL TUCKERRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
BOSTON SCOTTRB —RET
UNR—00%——
3
JARRED CRAFTRB —RET
UNR—00%——
15
KAM MCKNIGHTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
JAQWIS DANCYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
DEE FLEMINGRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
JUSTIN HENDERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
QUANTA MOORERB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
JAVONTE WOODARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
ZACH COUSARTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
ADRIAN HARDYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
CEE JAY POWELLWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
11
GEORGE SCOTTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
16
MARCUS GAINESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
DEJUAWN OLIVERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
13
MARLON WATTSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
9
TEDDY VEALWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
RHASHID BONNETTEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
ALFRED SMITHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
ALEX WOODALLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JON RANDALL BELTONWR SORET
★3—00%——
83
JAKE NORRISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
PRAISE OKORIEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JAWAUN JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
IVAN WILSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
CUALAN WILLIAMSWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
PEYTON BRASWELLTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAIDEN COLEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AMIK ROBERTSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JACORION ANDREWSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ELIJAH WALKERHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JOSHUA MOTEHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
KOLLIN HURTHS RECRUITS★2UNR
GEORGE SCOTTHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
GRIFFIN HEBERTHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
TRISTAN ALLENHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
CUALAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARLOS HENDERSONNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
TRENT TAYLORNFL DRAFT R5WRUNR—
XAVIER WOODSNFL DRAFT R6SUNR—
DALTON SANTOSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
LLOYD GROGANNOT LISTEDSUNR—
RYAN HIGGINSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
CYRIL NOLAND-LEWISNOT LISTEDSUNR—
AARON BROWNNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
CONNER SMITHNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DARRELL TRAVISNOT LISTED?UNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#100NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8020COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST33% BACK33th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG33% BACK33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR8%8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE