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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LSU›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|ED ORGERON|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
LSU#18 AP 14 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#715 BC / 24
BC RATIO
60%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.3
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBYU—W 27-0612424+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HCHATTANOOGA—W 45-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16AMISSISSIPPI STATE#19L 7-37818686+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HSYRACUSE—W 35-26535656+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HTROY—L 21-24264949+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AFLORIDA—W 17-16877474+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HAUBURN#10W 27-23959494-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AOLE MISS—W 40-24888080+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AALABAMA#1L 10-24100100100-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HARKANSAS—W 33-10835151+41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATENNESSEE—W 30-10924848+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HTEXAS A&M—W 45-21897272+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
DANNY ETLINGQB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
JUSTIN MCMILLANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
MYLES BRENNANQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
10
LOWELL NARCISSEQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
8
CALEB LEWISQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
J.D. MOOREFB —RET
UNR—00%——
28
DARREL WILLIAMSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
DERRIUS GUICERB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
NICK BROSSETTERB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
LANARD FOURNETTERB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
JUSTIN JONESRB SORET
UNR—00%——
44
TORY CARTERFB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRERB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
TREY GALLMANFB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
MYLIK MCWILLIAMSFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
RESHAUD HENRYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
45
MATTHEW CLAPPFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
MATT BROCKFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
JOHN DAVID MOOREFB —RET
UNR—00%——
47
BRY'KIETHON MOUTONFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
RUSSELL GAGEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
7
D.J. CHARKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
41
DAVID DUCRETE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DERRICK DILLONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
STEPHEN SULLIVANTE SERET
★4—00%——
2
JUSTIN JEFFERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
DRAKE DAVISWR JURET
★2—00%——
11
DEE ANDERSONWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
88
JACORY WASHINGTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
FOSTER MOREAUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JONTRE KIRKLINWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
JAMAL PETTIGREWTE SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
7
JONATHAN GILESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
RACEY MCMATHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
COLBY BRUNETWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
KEITH FULTONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CALEB RODDYTE —RET
★3—00%——
26
ADAM LEWISWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
LOUIS LANDRUMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
39
MICHAEL KERSHAWWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
MICAH DICKENSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
7
DJ CHARKWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JUSTIN BECKWITHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
TIGER SCHEYDWR —RET
UNR—00%——
30
MICHAEL OSTROMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
WESLEY MCKOYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOBY STEVENSHS RECRUITS★5UNR
K'LAVON CHAISSONHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
AUSTIN DECULUSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TYLER SHELVINHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
JACOB PHILLIPSHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
GRANT DELPITHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TODD HARRISHS RECRUITS★4UNR
KARY VINCENTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MYLES BRENNANHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
ED INGRAMHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON HARRISNORTH CAROLINAQBUNRUNR
ABRAHAM WALLACETEXAS TECHDBUNRUNR
TRE'DAVIOUS WHITENFL DRAFT R1CBUNR—
DUKE RILEYNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
KENDELL BECKWITHNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
JAMAL ADAMSNFL DRAFT R1SUNR—
DAVON GODCHAUXNFL DRAFT R5DTUNR—
LEONARD FOURNETTENFL DRAFT R1RBUNR—
MALACHI DUPRENFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
DWAYNE THOMASNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#7NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
15OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9115COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE